The new Democratic strategy

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By BRUNO FABRICIO ALCEBINO DA SILVA & JULIA PROTES LAMBERTI*

The debate over Joe Biden's resignation and its implications will continue to resonate in political discourse, influencing public perception and the course of American politics in the coming months

Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race for re-election marks a crucial moment in the recent political history of the United States. This decision, although surprising to some, is consistent with a tradition of presidents who, in different circumstances, have chosen not to seek a second term.

Historically, a sitting president's decision not to seek re-election has been influenced by a variety of factors – health problems, low popularity, economic crises or simply a personal desire not to continue in office. Notable examples include Lyndon B. Johnson, who, in 1968, decided not to seek re-election amid the turmoil of the Vietnam War (1955-1975) and growing public dissatisfaction.

Lyndon B. Johnson's decision reflected a combination of personal exhaustion and political pressure. Similarly, Joe Biden, facing health challenges and increasing political pressure, decided not to continue in the election, choosing to focus on fulfilling his current term.

The Democrat announced his withdrawal through a public letter and a message on social media, highlighting that he believes it is in the best interests of the party and the country for him to withdraw from the electoral race. In his letter, the president thanked Vice President Kamala Harris for her support and partnership, and expressed gratitude to the American people for the trust placed in him. The decision was influenced by several factors, including health concerns that have become more apparent in recent months.

Joe Biden, 81, has faced visible physical and cognitive difficulties at public events, raising concerns about his ability to serve a second term. Furthermore, the suspension of donations to the Democrat's campaign reflected a growing lack of financial support, which further aggravated the challenging scenario for his re-election.

In addition to these issues, polls showed that Joe Biden was not competitive in a possible contest against former President Donald Trump, who leads voting intentions among Republicans. The possibility of a defeat for Trump may also have influenced Biden's decision, considering the impact it would have on both his legacy and the Democratic Party.

With the departure of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris emerges as the party's main candidate. The first black woman of Indian and Jamaican descent to hold the vice presidency, Kamala Harris has had a career marked by prominent positions in the judiciary and the United States Senate. Despite facing criticism for some of her stances as a prosecutor, Kamala Harris has established herself as a defender of reproductive rights and progressive policies, which can attract young and minority voters.

In addition to Kamala Harris, the internal dispute within the Democratic Party raises some other names, including former first lady Michelle Obama, who is very popular due to her figure in the media; Gretchen Whitmer, who stands out for her popularity in the so-called “swing states” – the states that, traditionally, have an electorate well divided between Democrats and Republicans, and end up presenting very close elections that tend to fluctuate between the winning party; and the current governor of California Gavin Newsom, a figure present in Biden's electoral race.

Gavin Newsom stood out in the international media in July after an online clash with billionaire Elon Musk, who announced the decision to move the headquarters of his company 'X' out of California, due to disagreements with the governor regarding laws. that protect the privacy of LGBTQIA+ teens in California schools.

On social media, Joe Biden has already publicly announced his support for Kamala Harris' candidacy. However, Harris's choice of vice-president will be crucial to consolidating her support within the party and among the electorate. A strategically chosen vice president can strengthen the ticket, appeal to different segments of voters, and help build a solid coalition to face the challenges of the election.

Some possible names to join the ticket with Kamala Harris include prominent figures from the Democratic Party. Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend and current secretary of Transportation, is known for his communication skills and attracting moderate voters. Josh Shapiro, governor of Pennsylvania, who, despite having recently taken office, is seen as a rising star. A law graduate and former state attorney general, Shapiro has a history of winning against Republicans in a crucial state for Democrats.

Other options include Andy Beshear, governor of Kentucky, who has stood out in a heavily Republican state for his work creating jobs, supporting public education and expanding access to healthcare, as well as his strong stance against laws that restrict reproductive rights and care. of gender affirmation for transgender youth. Roy Cooper, governor of North Carolina, is also a possibility. Cooper is praised for his focus on economic development and for maintaining relatively high approval ratings in a politically competitive state that leans Republican.

Joe Biden's decision not to seek re-election not only alters the dynamics within the Democratic Party, but also provokes intense reactions among Republicans. Donald Trump, taking advantage of the opportunity, was quick to criticize the president, calling him “the worst president in history” and stating that facing Kamala Harris will be easier.

Joe Biden's resignation is seen by Republicans as a confirmation of their criticism of the president's ability to lead the country, Republican leaders such as Mike Johnson have called for Joe Biden's immediate resignation from the presidential office, arguing that he is unfit to serve .

This discussion about Joe Biden's resignation reflects a polarized political scenario, where every move is scrutinized and used as ammunition for the next electoral battle. For the Democratic Party, the task now is to unite behind Kamala Harris or another strong candidate, ensure that internal divisions do not harm the campaign, and present a platform that can confront the aggressive rhetoric of Republicans and the economic and social hardships facing them. the country faces.

Joe Biden's decision not to seek re-election is a redefining moment for American politics. This turn highlights the importance of leadership that is adaptable and responsive to the needs of the moment, and brings into focus the next generation of leaders who will shape the country's future. The Democratic Party's ability to navigate this transition period and announce the party's new electoral slate will be crucial in determining its success in the 2024 elections.

At the same time, the debate over Joe Biden's resignation and its implications will continue to resonate in political discourse, influencing public perception and the course of American politics in the coming months. With all eyes around the world now fully focused on the US election race, the big question arises: will the Democrats be able to run a successful campaign against Donald Trump in so few months?

*Bruno Fabricio Alcebino da Silva He is majoring in International Relations and Economic Sciences at the Federal University of ABC (UFABC).

*Julia Protes Lamberti is a graduate student in International Relations and Economic Sciences at the Federal University of ABC (UFABC).


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