By HASMAESTRI RIVER*

A lifeólaugh at Russia will reinforce the existential threat to Yankee imperialism. The USA iso, since hlong ago, a nation that spends more than the taxes it collects and imports more than it exports

The objectives of NATO's combat against Russia in Ukraine

The growing tension, which threatens to worsen in the second half of 2024, or at the beginning of 2025, is not, in essence, the traditional dispute for markets and raw materials, between the large imperialist conglomerates. Even though, in that bitter broth that is served to us, there is a lot of this.

We are not in the years of the First and Second World Wars, in times of revolution, in which workers placed their hopes in socialism and communism, advancing history, albeit in a shaky way, and, finally, with the epochal retreat of the end of the 1980s.

The 20th century began with the dawn of the 1917 Revolution and ended under the sign of the capitalist counter-revolutionary tide, in 1991, marked by the explosion of the USSR and the capitalist restoration in the vast majority of nations with a planned and nationalized economy. [MAESTRI, 07/07/2023.]

Vision beautician from historyória

On the left, an aestheticist view of the past has become commonplace that ignores the revolutionary victories that, even ending under the yoke of Stalinism, took humanity to the lower levels of the socialist order, but always higher than those of capitalist organization and exploitation. They deny the struggles, victories and defeats of the oppressed, because they do not fit into their supra-historical purist paradigms.

In the same sense and even worse, organizations that propose themselves to be Marxist-revolutionary have, for decades, embraced imperialism. They celebrated the destruction of what little remained of the October Revolution, under bureaucratic heel. And, in the following decades, they supported imperialist operations, such as those against the Afghan Revolution, Yugoslavia, Serbia, Nicaragua, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Cuba and, today, Venezuela and the Russian Federation. [LIT-CI, 2013.]

The counter-revolutionary tsunami, which peaked in 1989-1991, was a terrible watershed that determined the life of humanity. He reshaped a large part of the world, in favor of capital, in general, and the US imperialist bloc, in particular. Globalization advanced, ensuring the merciless over-accumulation of capital to the detriment of the world population.

The solution, even if temporary, to the structural crisis of capitalism requires that it make a qualitative leap in the pantagruelic banquet of the world's human and natural resources. The rapacity of the USSR and the advance on many of its former republics and “people's republics” were not enough. He insists on going back to the times when the Russian Federation was a “China business”, during the Yeltsin Era [1991-1999], when “Russia's GDP decreased by almost half”. [LOPES, 31.07.2004; CASELLI, 2013; PUSKOV, 2022.]

Balkanization of the Federationthe Russian

The Yankee imperialist bloc seeks to repeat the past balkanization of the USSR, now to the detriment of the twenty-two republics of the Russian Federation. It dreams of the materialization of the project of European imperialism to exploit the territories of Russia-Eurasia to the very marrow of its bones and reduce its working class to the situation of wage slaves.

The same project that, mutatis mutandis, drove the invasions of the Russian steppes by European colonialist nations, since the 16th century – Poland, 1610; Sweden, 1709; France, 1812; Germany, 1914 and, above all, Nazi Germany, 1941. [TOYNBEE, 1955: 16 et passim]. The proposal to build the German “living space”, on the ashes of the USSR, was not a Hitlerian invention, but an attempt to materialize the historical program of German and European imperialism.

Eight years after the explosion of the USSR, despite verbal promises to Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin, NATO advanced towards Russian borders. In 1999, it incorporated the Czech Republic and Hungary; in 2004, Bulgaria, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia; in 2009, Albania and Croatia; in 2017, Montenegro and, in 2020, North Macedonia. In general, former allies of the USSR in the Warsaw Pact. [MAESTRI, 13/04/2022; CARDEN, 2020.]

NATO troops and nuclear weapons, close to the borders of the Russian Federation, would force it to surrender, given the impossibility of defending itself, not just from a nuclear attack. The imperialist march to the East, promoted by Secretary of State Madeleine Albright [1937-1922], during the Clinton administration [1993-2001], was criticized, without success, by American academics, diplomats, politicians and military personnel, who defended a policy of collaboration and not confrontation with the Russian Federation. [LOPES, 31/07/2024.]

Brief time window

The destruction of the Russian Federation assumed urgency due to the threat that US imperialism came to know, regarding its world hegemony, born from the genesis of the People's Republic of China as an imperialist power, on the one hand, and from the capitalist reconstruction of Russia in a defensive bias, on the other. [MAESTRI, 2021.]

US imperialism understood that, faced with its relative manufacturing and even technological regression, the window of time it had to suffocate the vital threat posed by China was rapidly closing, supported by what remained of its military, diplomatic and financial superiority, also in regression. [MAESTRI, 25 June. 2019.]

And it was the Yankee government that looked for scabs to scratch. In the 1970s, he allied with China against the USSR, facilitating a portentous capitalist restoration of the continent-nation. After the end of the USSR, in 1991, with the USA as the only hegemonic nation worldwide, American imperialism unconditionally embraced globalization, in the Clinton years.

The Democratic Party, the main political expression of Yankee financial and imperialist capital, turned its back on the American manufacturing working class, promoting the relocation of the country's industrial production, especially in favor of China, to make a profit, super-exploiting workers, resources and the Chinese and Eastern Amazon markets.

The Dragon's Teeth

Clinton and the Democratic Party promoted the immense nation's entry into the World Trade Organization, transforming it into the world's factory, as England and the United States before were. Very soon, the Chinese Dragon showed its teeth, jumping from the production of goods with little added value to technologically refined products.

In natural evolution, Chinese production assumed a monopolistic character, spreading across borders. An unavoidable competition was then established between it and American production, across the world and in the United States. [MAESTRI, 2021; SPERANCETE & MARTINS, 2019.]

During the governments of Barack Obama (2009-2017), there was a reaction to Chinese global dynamism, which questioned the hegemony of the United States. Donald Trump continued along this line, with a mercantilist vision, and under Joe Biden's government, the dispute with China began to be faced from a military perspective. [O PEOPLE, 18 JAN. 2021; WHITE HOUSE, 20/05/2022.]

Capitalist revival

In 2000, the threat to the USA worsened, with the advent of the Putin Era. The Russian neo-president delimited a public area – energy and military industry, above all –; recognized the “primitive accumulation” carried out through the plundering of state assets; limited, under threat of expropriation, the political interference of mega-capitalists. The new bourgeois Bonapartist State legalized and ordered capitalist accumulation and undertook to defend the national independence of the Federation. [ISHCHENKO, 2024.]

In 2014, the NATO-USA march to the East took a leap forward with the coup d'état in Ukraine, against the Russian Federation, which responded by recovering Crimea, administratively ceded to Ukraine in 1954, when it and Russia were part of the USSR. Measure therefore without major repercussions for the population.

After the coup d'état, after 2014, with no solution for continuity, the War against Donbass, advanced by the new Ukrainian State, supported by NATO, began. The Federation weakly supported and did not support the separatism of the republics of Donec'k and Luhans'k in the industrialized northwest of Ukraine. It demanded little more than federative autonomy within pacified Ukraine, with respect to the ethnically Russian population.

A new fascism

Ukraine's entry into NATO would bring Western troops to the borders of the Russian Federation, making it impossible to defend itself. The intention was to apply the recipe that had exploded Yugoslavia, in the context of the destruction of the USSR, shattering the Russian Federation into four or five nations, as proposed. [PETRONI, 2022, p. 45; ISHCHENKO, 2020.]

With the explosion of Russia, the super-vitaminized Yankee imperialist bloc would move to subjugate the isolated People's Republic of China. In this way, the Western monopolar hegemony, which was expected to be stable and secular, in the years following the destruction of the USSR, would be rebuilt on a higher level, in a hyper-authoritarian and even fascist sense. [KARAGANOV, 2020.]

An attack on Russia-China was required in two stages. Imperialist strategists propose that the United States can win an open conflict against the Russian Federation or the People's Republic, separated, but which would certainly be defeated, against them, united.

After the 2014 coup d'état, NATO militarily prepared Ukraine to attack, in early 2022, the Republics of Donbass and, subsequently, Crimea. Zelensky's decree of March 24, 2021, therefore, one year before the 2022 conflict, determined that the Ukrainian army should prepare to recover Donbass and Crimea.

In fact, not sworn

The attack would force, as its threat did, the Russian Federation to rehearse a military response or signal its surrender. To this end, the European Union, NATO and the USA consciously disrespected the Minsk I (09/2014) and II (02/2015) agreements, foreseen for a peaceful solution to the issue of Donbass and Crimea, as publicly recognized by Emmanuel Macron and Angela Merkel are the guarantors for France and Germany. [KORTUNOV, 2020.]

NATO also refused to discuss the minimum security guarantees requested by the Federation. In the face of accelerated incorporation, in fact, and not by lawe, from Ukraine to NATO, the Russian Federation launched the Special Military Operation, on February 24, 2022, to force the Ukrainian government into a military neutrality pact. [BAUD, 2024, 46, 96; MAESTRI, 2022.]

Negotiations between the Federation and Ukraine, which began after the start of the conflict, were approaching conclusion, with the Russian granting of Ukrainian membership to the European Union, which would put an end to the historic economic association with Russia. They were interrupted by Boris Johnson's pressure on Volodymyr Zelensky, on behalf of the Yankee imperialist bloc. The Ukrainian president returned to his decision to militarily liberate Donbass and Crimea from the Russian Federation.

A brief war, with the economic destruction of the Russian Federation

NATO promised a brief war, counting, not on a military defeat of the Russian Federation, but on a general crisis of its economy and, consequently, of its society and its national order, under the crushing weight of the endless sanctions imposed since 2014. , and exacerbated after the start of the conflict – currently, around twenty thousand. [BAUD, 2024, 35.]

The Western imperialist bloc predicted the diplomatic isolation of the Russian Federation and its transformation into a pariah nation, an operation in which it would obtain good results with Saddam Hussein's Iraq; with Libya, by Muammar al-Qaddafi, with Syria, by Bashar Al-Saddad, with North Korea and with the Iran of the ayatollahs. Military defeat would be a consequence of economic disorganization.

The European population had long been bombarded by an insidious Russophobic campaign. In Germany, France, Poland, the Baltic countries and so on, it was forbidden to listen to reasons other than those of NATO. The language, culture, history, etc. Russian women were demonized. From the right to the extreme left, participants participated in the campaign. The green parties drooled blood.

Retreats and advances

Zelensky opting for war, Russian troops, around Kiev, headed towards southeastern Ukraine, the historic Novarossija (New Russia), that is, the region from Luhans'k, Donec'k, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. Since 2014, these regions have suffered ethnic cleansing operations. It sought to liquidate, by force, the traditional Russian language and culture, dominant in Eastern Ukraine, and impose a nationalist identity centered on Western Ukraine, the stage for collaboration with Nazism, in an anti-Soviet, anti-Jewish and anti-Polish key. , during World War II, where Russian is not spoken. [TRET'JAKOV, 2024, p.122.]

In 2014, after the coup d'état in Ukraine, the uprising of the separatist republics of Donbass broke out with the beginning of ethnic cleansing: banning the Russian language, with the abolition of the Kivalov-Kolesnichenko law, on 23/02/2014; formation of the fascist militias Aïdar, Azov, Dniepr-1, Dniepr-2, Donbass. [BAUD, 2024, 164].

The US-NATO proposed that the movement of twenty thousand soldiers from the outskirts of Kiev to the southeast, joining the bulk of Russian forces, would be a serious Russian military defeat. However, it was never the Federation's objective to occupy the capital and Ukraine, an operation that would require one million soldiers, and not the 140 of the Special Military Operation.

Reconquest of Kherson and Krarkov

In March, September and October 2022, Russian troops, outnumbered by 700 Ukrainian soldiers, ceded important territories in an organized manner. region of Kherson and its capital, Kharkov, allowing the pro-Western Ukrainian population to regain confidence in NATO's promise of a coming victory. [ISCENKO, 2024, p. 92.]

After the victories at the end of 2022, an exultant Volodymyr Zelensky declared that he would not negotiate Russia's peace-surrender with Putin in government. Those successes were interpreted superficially. Since the beginning of the conflict, the Russian army has pursued the depletion of the Ukrainian armed forces, giving second place to territorial advances. “The Russian calculation is that lost ground can be recovered,” while dead soldiers cannot. [BAUD, 2024, 75, 105, 141.]

On September 21, 2022, understanding the new nature of the confrontation determined by the OTN, the Russian Federation decreed the mobilization of 300 reservists and volunteers. And, partially supported by private militias, with emphasis on the Wagner troops, it stabilized the combat front, obtaining some significant victories, such as in Bakmut, in March 2023. [Idem, 106.]

On June 4, 2023, under a radiant European summer, the announced Ukrainian counter-offensive began, carefully prepared by NATO. A rapid rupture of the Russian defensive lines was expected, with a wedge-shaped penetration, towards the Sea of ​​Azov, cutting the Russian armies in two, isolating and occupying Crimea. The Russian Federation had prepared an entrenchment, in three lines, heavily mined and artillery. Which was not expected.

General failure

The plans of the NATO-US generals, for waves of tank and infantry assaults, repeated practices typical of World War II, inadequate to the Russians' dominance of the air and artillery and to the new times of drone hegemony, a new curse for unprotected armored vehicles. . Ukrainian source reports that, in just one attack, in a few hours, more than 150 vehicles were lost, including twelve Leopards and fifteen Bradleys. [BAUD, 2024, 208-209].

Without air support and inferior artillery, the failure of the Ukrainian counter-offensive was general, without ever overcoming the first of the three Russian lines of defense. It was a terminal blow to a depleted army, with losses of irreplaceable veteran soldiers, which added to the decimations of previous campaigns. With the military failure, followed by the removal of the prestigious general Valery Zaluzhny, on January 29, 2024, by Volodymyr Zelensky, the population's support for the president plummeted. [ISCENKO, 2024, p. 92.]

Despite narratives continuing about a campaign on the verge of success, the Ukrainian defeat was more than predictable, substantiating the general failure of the US-NATO campaign to dissolve the Russian Federation under sanctions, diplomatic isolation and military coups. This came as no surprise to analysts not obliterated by imperialist Russophobic fury.

After 2014, the Russian Federation understood that the NATO attack was right. He sold American debt securities; stored gold reserves; repatriated funds deposited in the European Union. Above all, it had surpassed Western weapons in terms of hypersonic, ballistic and cruise missiles; to electronic warfare; to air defense. The state-owned war industry, inherited from the USSR, had been strengthened, which had maintained the unity of the production chain.

Law of return

The militarization of production and the expansion of exports of oil, gas, fertilizers, grains, etc., to new and old buyers, boosted GDP, the nationally active population, and increased wages in the Russian Federation. The projected diplomatic isolation was reduced to Europe and the allies-subjects of the imperialist bloc, above all. Although not a few international companies and banks have withdrawn in relation to the Russian Federation, fearing US sanctions, above all.

The Federation's political, diplomatic and economic alliance with China, Iran and the People's Republic of Korea deepened, which alleviated the latter country's isolation under imperialist pressure. And China maintained its close alliance with the Federation and responded to NATO's meddling in the Pacific with an unexpected incursion into Europe during recent joint military maneuvers with Belarus. [MINAKOV, 2024, p.73.]

Among the new members of BRICS+, Egypt, Ethiopia, the United Arab Emirates and Iran, is the strategic US client nation, Saudi Arabia, undermining payment for oil in dollars (petrodollar). An important part of the world also refused to turn its back on Russia, tired of the arrogance of Uncle Sam and his allies. The desire to detach themselves from a dollar that threatens to roll downhill, in an increasingly noticeable way, has advanced among nations.

Historical US allies-subjects – Saudi Arabia, Iraq, South Africa and even Brazil – began to seek the protection of the Russian-Chinese umbrella. The Italian government of neo-fascist and pro-American Giorgia Meloni is rethinking the slight it initially made against China. India, a continental nation, refused to isolate its traditional ally and arms supplier. African countries show their sullen faces to the United States and their former European masters, especially Emmanuel Macron's France.

A shot backfires: war and crisis in the European Union

The sanctions damaged the Russian economy to a limited extent and caused enormous damage to the European economy, particularly Germany, which was forced to replace cheap Russian oil and gas with costly American oil and gas. In 2023, the country's GDP fell by 0.3%. [Le Monde, 1/08/2024.] One of the objectives of the Yankee offensive in Ukraine was to break Germany-Russia economic ties, putting the former European locomotive into gear. Euro inflation, organized to erode wages and revive competitiveness, amplified the political crisis in the European Union, while Vladimir Putin maintained a high consensus in the Russian Federation. [OFICEROV-BEL'SKIJ, 2024, p. 127.]

Boris Johnson, a visceral enemy of Russia, defenestrated from the government, was replaced by prime ministers who ended up handing over the baton to Labor, so that English Russophobia could be sustained by an administration legitimized by elections. Keir Starmer, the new British Prime Minister, was quick to declare full support for the NATO campaign. Currently, it is facing a popular uprising against savage immigration, fueled by the racist right.

The preventive resignation of Chancellor Angela Merkel, who had boosted the German economy supported by low-priced Russian energy, handed power to the pro-war coalition called “traffic light” – Social Democrats, Reds; liberals, yellow; ecologists, greens. The lethargic Social Democratic Chancellor Olaf Scholz slavishly sided with the US, which has militarily occupied Germany since the end of World War II, and let the country's economy plummet.

The government traffic light, just blinking, as it is short of power, survives as a Walking Dead, under massive popular rejection and the overwhelming advance of anti-European, anti-globalist, anti-immigrationist and pacifist populism. The Alternative for Germany [Alternative für Deutschland] is currently the second national party and the first in the territories of the former Democratic Republic, and continues to grow.

authoritarian state

Despite prohibiting the membership of far-right activists since its founding in 2013, the AfD is under threat of dissolution, as German authoritarian legislation allows the repression of citizens and organizations that oppose the current democratic order. , in clearer words, to the current liberal-capitalism. Around 40% of the German population declared that they did not freely express their political opinions, for fear of the consequences. [STEINMANN, 2024, 51-61.]

In France, Emmanuel Macron, after a general attack on workers, employees and middle segments, while announcing the deployment of troops to Ukraine, dissolved the parliament, seeking to recover from the huge defeat in the elections for the European Parliament. In the elections he called, his party was not devastated just because of the traditional left-wing policy of voting, in the second rounds, with the government of big capital, under the idea of ​​blocking the populist, anti-European, anti-immigrationist, anti- -war, which she defines as fascist, without mediation.

The French populist right, the Reassembly National [National Regroupment], by Marine Le Pen, in the elections for the European Parliament in June this year, became the first party in France, with ten million votes, and continues to grow. The RN today has substantial support from workers who, in the past, voted for the left, in general, and for the French Communist Party, in particular.

In Europe, disgust with the degradation of the living conditions of the popular and middle classes is growing; with the loss of national sovereignty to European institutions, controlled by globalism; with savage immigration, encouraged to depress wages and union resistance; with the million-dollar financing of the conflict in Ukraine and the promise of general war against Russia and China, if it is not possible now, in the coming years.

Vote, I'm the one who decides

In Germany, Poland, France, the Netherlands and Italy, without left-wing parties defending their interests, the employed and the unemployed, those with and without work, the almost poor and the already poor, etc., turn to for national-autonomist, anti-immigration, and commonly pacifist right-wing populist parties. Being attacked for this, as alienated, by a left that perseveres in an agenda that is foreign to the demands of the world of work and the popular classes.

On June 6th to 9th, the election for the European Parliament registered the expected growth of populist parties, anathematized, all of them, in a linear, simplistic and opportunistic way, as fascists, semi-fascists and post-fascists by the defenders of privatist policies, globalist, social-liberal and liberal and, therefore, anti-popular.

In recent years, European institutions have used green and environmental parties to attack the small and medium-sized agro-pastoral economy, to put an end to subsidies and depreciate the prices of subsistence foods, increasing the competitiveness of the European economy. The replacement of agro-pastoral production by imports will destroy small and medium-sized peasant farms and the diversity and uniqueness of their products, as well as rural landscapes with ancient roots. And unemployment and rural poverty will increase.

It's the cow's fault

In Denmark, amid vegetarian and environmentalist applause, the taxation of each head of cattle was approved from 2030 onwards, as they produce carbon dioxide when they ruminate and defecate. The mega-demonstrations by farmers forced the governments of agricultural nations and European institutions to back down on, among other proposals, the forced annual reduction of planted areas. Green and ecological parties, at the forefront of these and similar policies, collapsed in the June elections.

When the European Parliament was sworn in, the globalist parties – right, center and left –, which still maintained a large simple majority, olympically ignored the voters who expressed their disgust with supranational, Europeanist, globalist, militarist, immigrant. They literally sent the democracy they propose to defend to the brink.

The new European Parliament simply behaved like the old one, as if nothing had happened. He re-elected, among other bigwigs, as president of the European Union, Ursula Von der Leyen, a conservative, from a German aristocratic family, accused of corruption in the purchase of millions of vaccines. Always drooling blood against the Russian Federation, she became famous when she was accused of plagiarizing her doctoral thesis in Medicine, defended in the USA.

New barrel, old wine

National leaders and European institutions persevere irreducibly in their political orientation, which compromises the economy, society and security of the Old World, increasingly questioned by a population that they strive to manipulate. The apparent paradoxical behavior is due to having “linked their own political destiny, their own career, their own material well-being” to these guidelines. [TRET'JAKOV, 2024, p. 117.] Dependence on status symbolic and personal material to the functions they perform, leads them to believe or want to believe in the unreal narratives that they propose and defend.

One of the first measures voted by the majority of MEPs in the European Parliament was to follow the million-dollar financing of the NATO war, to drain the Russian Federation a little more, at the expense of destroying the Ukrainian population and nation, in a war that was known to be lost. And, possibly, to try to prepare the continuation of the conflict on another level, blind or apparently blind to the clear failure of the Euro-American imperialist operation.

Ukrainian political and military leaders, obedient to NATO orders, continue to send simulacrums of soldiers into combat, hunted, with a noose, in the streets, buses, cinemas, schools, like the “stick and rope” volunteers sent in chains by the Empire of Brazil to fight the Republic of Paraguay, in 1865-70. [MAESTRI, 2017.] Without physical and health conditions, sick, stupid, up to sixty years old, with just a few days of training, they are cut down, as soon as they reach the battlefields.

Russia cannot win! and if you win?

Three months ago, after the destruction of Ukrainian troops was completed, the armies of the Russian Federation went on the offensive, at first slowly, conquering a few kilometers per day, and then accelerating their pace, protecting their troops and decimating their opponents. They attack, at the same time, at different points along the more than a thousand kilometers of the combat front, incessantly conquering trenches, villages and small towns. And the troops, under the orders of Volodymyr Zelensky, persevere in publicity attacks, for external use, like the current one, beyond Russian borders, further depleting Ukrainian troops.

Despite general control of the media, the population of western Ukraine, which supported the conflict in its beginnings, is beginning to show signs of fatigue and opposition to the government and the suicidal war. He begins to understand the impossibility of victory and that the war is not fought in defense of his interests. And the important Russian-speaking and cultural population, still under the control of Kiev, despite the strong repression it suffers, is starting to raise its head.

Popular disgust is growing with inflation, unemployment and, now, with the new law of forced general mobilization, which has accelerated the flight of men, especially across the borders with Romania, Hungary, Moldova and Russia. [Le Monde, 06/08/2024.] About ten million Ukrainians, 1/4 of the population in 2020, find themselves refugees mainly in the European Union and… Russia, which would host more than two million refugees. This, not counting the Russophile population of Crimea and the southeastern regions incorporated into the Russian Federation.

Nobody wants to go to war

Although the majority of expatriates are women [46%], children [21%], and only 21% adults, more than 860 thousand Ukrainians of military service age have taken refuge in the European Union. A male population with no intention of returning to join the army where, with the enormous shortage of soldiers, the contract of discharge after three years of service is not fulfilled. Joining the Ukrainian army today is a kind of almost contract with death. [SCAGLIONE, 2024, p. 59.]

Research carried out in recent months shows that around 65% of refugees in the European Union do not intend to return to Ukraine after the end of the war. And the inevitable acclimatization abroad, in a long stay, is leading to refugee women divorcing their husbands who remained in Ukraine, integrated into the armed forces or production. [MINAKOV, 2024, p.70.]

In 1991, when it separated from the USSR, Ukraine had around 52 million inhabitants. Before the war, some analysts proposed that it would only exceed 37 million inhabitants. Losses due to immigration and the historic drop in birth rates. In 2001, the Ukrainian birth rate was 1,09 children per woman, requiring 2,01 children for small growth. Currently, the population under Kiev's control would only exceed 20 million nationals, with emphasis on the elderly, women and children. [MOSCATELLI, 2024, p. 111; OFICEROV-BEL'SKIJ, 2024, 129.]

No light, no water, no heating

Ukrainian people demonstrate to complain about the lack of energy in the country, where Volodymyr Zelensky remains in government illegally, with his presidential term ending on May 20. Since the beginning of the conflict, Ukraine has lived under the de facto military dictatorship, exercised by Zelensky, who, in March 2022, outlawed eleven political parties in the country and began to repress, as pro-Russia, any dissent to his government. . [ISHCHENKO, 2022.]

The surrender of Ukrainian soldiers increases by leaps and bounds. In 2022, 9.400 military cases were opened for desertion. In 2023, 24 thousand. In just the first six months of 2024, cases already reached thirty thousand. [REALITY OF WAR, 5.08.2024.] In recent times, according to underestimated data from Kiev, around 140 thousand Ukrainians have moved, suitcases and bags, from Ukraine to territories controlled by the Federation. [MINAKOV, 2024, p.70.]

With the arrival of winter, the lack of energy, and therefore of light, heating, water - in Kiev, in buildings, water only reaches the fourth floor -, a new wave of thousands of refugees is expected, mainly towards the European Union, but also towards the Russian Federation, with the expanding job market. [MINAKOV, 2024, p. 73.] New arrivals will not be welcomed with open arms, as at the beginning of 2022.

Senior officers refuse to launch troops into suicidal offensives for propaganda purposes. The dissociation with the government and the war has motivated attacks on the hated recruiters. Especially, but not only in Odessa, with a huge ethnically Russian population, nighttime urban commandos set fire to recruiter militia vehicles. On the night of July 23, five vehicles burned in Odessa, the city where Kiev suppressed, on May 2, 2014, in a bloodbath, the population's opposition to the Maidan coup. In August, resistance groups set fire to electricity distribution systems in Odessa. [TRET'JAKOV, 2024, 117.]

The Russia nCan't Win

Since the beginning of the conflict, politicians, journalists and ideologues in favor of the imperialist bloc have stated that Russia cannot win. Billions of dollars are poured into the military effort and the Russophobia of the European population is stoked, prohibiting university exchanges; the presentation of athletes, artists, plays, Russian music. In Germany, demonstrating in defense of Russia or against Israel is a crime punishable by law. [PETRONI, 2020.]

Russian tourists are prohibited from entering European Union countries that maintain diplomatic relations with the Federation. The population is terrified with a fantasy invasion of Europe, even the Portuguese Algarve, if the “diabolical” Vladimir Putin and the hordes of ex-Bolsheviks win. Even though we know that the Federation has no intention, interest or minimum conditions to invade Europe. NATO armies far outnumber the Russians in every domain except nuclear.

The incessant proclamation that Russia cannot win is not just advertising. The increasingly likely victory of the Russian Federation will constitute a severe blow to the US-NATO bloc, of magnitude difficult to be fully assessed. Above all, it would disorganize NATO's offensive-expansion, since 1999, after the explosion of the USSR, against Eastern Europe.

The king is dead, death to the king

 A victory for Russia will make Ukraine unviable as a wedge of imperialism, placing Volodymyr Zelensky and the government circle in the need to explain why they led the country to such a catastrophe. It would strengthen the population's opposition to the supra-national globalist government of the European Union, weakening warmongering, pro-European, globalist and European immigrant parties and politicians.

Such success will reinforce the displacement of nations kept until now under the hegemony of the imperialist bloc, through the “carrot and stick” policy, which increasingly uses the stick, and offers fewer and fewer carrots. Dissent that already occurs, in the Old World, regarding Hungary, Slovakia and Georgia, the latter nation under very strong pressure from the imperialist bloc.

The success of the Russian Federation will consolidate its alliance with China, impose a military and diplomatic retreat on the United States in the Pacific, and weaken popular support from the United States and its succubus allies for the adventure in that region of the world. It will put an end to or strongly weaken the proposal to extend NATO to the Pacific and advance BRICS+ to the detriment of the G7.

Supported by BRICS+, Chinese diplomacy has achieved important successes, bringing Iran closer to Saudi Arabia and, now, Hamas to Fatah, united in defense of the resistance against Zionism. The People's Republic of China is the nation best placed to mediate talks between Russia and the United States for peace in Ukraine.

The end of times

A victory for Russia will reinforce the existential threat to Yankee imperialism. The USA has long been a nation that spends more than the taxes it collects and imports more than it exports. The sustenance of the United States, for decades, has depended on the ability to take on debt, at a low price, and to finance itself by producing paper money, hoarded throughout the world, as an international safe haven exchange currency, etc. [MAHBUBANI, 2021.]

The reign of US imperialism is supported by the global hegemony of the dollar, which, in turn, is supported by US military-diplomatic supremacy. The nearly thousand United States military bases around the world are not unproductive expenditure, but essential to maintain its status worldwide. However, like imperialism, the dollar is also in a downward trend, which could accelerate with a victory for the Russian Federation in Ukraine.

At the beginning of the year, the US public debt exceeded 35 trillion dollars, more than the country's annual GDP and some thirteen times that of Brazil. A reality that forced the interest rate on US public bonds to rise to around 5,5% per year. In 2022, more than 15% of the country's public resources were allocated to interest payments and debt amortization. At the end of the following year, the US government was already paying more than a trillion dollars annually in interest and debt repayments, which continue to grow. Today, in relation to GDP, military spending and US debt payments are on par.

The main blow of a failure in Ukraine will be the eventual weakening of the dollar, with greater national and financial autonomy for the nations involved in its enormous area of ​​action, taking distance from a currency that has depreciated in recent decades, but which is still the great international reference. However, due to the barrage of sanctions against Russia, Belarus, China, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Syria, across the world, the world's central banks are exchanging dollars for gold and other currencies, such as financial reserves. Fearing that this trend will become widespread, also in relation to the euro, the European Union is resisting proposals to finance the Ukrainian war with Russian currencies frozen in Old World banks.

saucer in hand

An advance and consolidation of international exchanges outside the dollar would deal a terrible blow to the United States economy. The wild and incessant return, like a herd of wild cattle, of trillions of devalued dollars to the United States, would put an end to the traditional pattern of sustaining its economy and society, through multitudinous imports, without corresponding exports. This would throw American society into a chaotic situation, with a terrible increase in the cost of living. The world economy would also be affected by this historic toll movement. The current dispute to the death between Republicans and Democrats is equally due to the divergence of how to face this situation.

A victory for Russia in Ukraine, therefore, does not constitute a cyclical failure, which can be overcome, in the medium term, with some effort and arrangements. It can shorten, in its consequences, the survival of imperialist hegemony and weaken the capital dependent on them in the country and in the world. NATO strategists become aware of the almost certain failure of their operation in Ukraine and this assessment begins to spread across Europe. We now appreciate the calibrated replacement of triumphalist narratives with new ones, which speak of a peace that would mean a Russian semi-failure, since the Federation would not have conquered all of Ukraine which, as proposed, was outside the intentions and possibilities Russians.

Anguished about their personal fates, Volodymyr Zelensky and his close assistants announce, for the first time, their willingness to negotiate peace. Advertising proposal due to the eventual election of Donald Trump. It also records the observation of reticent European support for the possibility of financing the war in 2025, with emphasis on Germany. Volodymyr Zelensky and his circle have their financial and personal destinies tied to at least a half-victory, which is also increasingly distant.

A flight forward

In NATO, in the United States, in England, in Poland, in the Baltic countries, supporters of the immediate radicalization and qualitative leap forward in the conflict persist, to give them a new dimension, mainly through the granting of missiles capable of reaching Russian territories in depth. They argue that such attacks would force the Federation to negotiate in a fragile situation, despite advancing on the combat line. NATO technicians for handling such weapons already provide services in Ukraine.

An attack on the heart of the Russian Federation would mean a de facto intervention by NATO. It would be unacceptable to the government, armed forces and population of Russia, giving rise to a harsh response that would force NATO to discuss direct intervention in Ukraine. That's all Volodymyr Zelensky, the hawks in the Biden administration, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia want.

The proposal for a direct intervention by NATO troops was fluently defended in recent months by President Emmanuel Macron, before his electoral failure, and supported by the governments of Poland and the Baltic countries. It was rejected by the United States and the main European governments, including Germany. This is a rhetorical threat, seeking to soften the Russian Federation, forcing it to make concessions that reduce the extent and impact of its victory, during possible discussions about ending the conflict.

No soldiersOhá war

Russia's defeat could be a matter of extreme importance for the bloc. There is, however, no possibility of reversing the situation in Ukraine in the coming months. NATO strategists speak of the need for at least three hundred thousand European soldiers for an offensive in Ukraine, against Russia, today with an army of around one million soldiers, armed and trained, with around 400 thousand fighters fire fighters involved in the Special Military Operation.

The troops of European nations ready for combat would total around one hundred thousand soldiers, if all NATO members agreed to send their men into combat in which the Russian Federation and Belarus have declared that they will defend their territories with weapons. atomic tactics if attacked. In France, Italy, Germany and even Poland, the departure of a few thousand regular troops to attack Russia would lead to general political and social chaos.

European militarist governments can send rivers of resources to Ukraine for civilian and military spending. They cannot send armed people to war. NATO does not have the soldiers, it does not have the weapons, it does not have the military articulation necessary for a prompt intervention against Russia. Facing the Russian Federation now does not depend on NATO's decision, as it is an unfeasible initiative.

Those responsible for the so-called Atlantic pact are now proposing continental preparation for this attack, in three, five or more years, which is a rhetorical exercise. Even more so with the possibility of the Russian Federation's upcoming victory, the fate of not a few European governments, some, in the short and medium term is imponderable. The so-called Western geopolitical analysts do not incorporate the action and dissent of the working and popular classes into the forecasts they publish.

Two stumbling blocks: Palestine and the Trump-Harris dispute

In addition to NATO's military unpreparedness, two other issues prevent immediate radicalization in Ukraine, to prevent the ongoing debacle. First. Zionism's genocidal offensive in Palestine is spreading dangerously. Today, Israel fights Hamas in Gaza and attacks the Palestinian population in the West Bank. It makes the drums beat, in the north of Israel and in the south of Lebanon, against Hezbollah, which proved its competence by defeating the Zionist troops in 2006. [CHAMMA, 2018.]

And, if all this were not enough, the Zionist armed forces are fighting spears with the Huthis, from South Yemen, and continuing attacks on Syria and the anti-imperialist militias in Iraq. Furthermore, Netanyahu seeks to open a direct confrontation with Hezbolah and Iran, which he defines as Israel's great enemy, supported by the United States, in order to remain in government, with the support of the extreme right, and continue in the construction of the Great Israel, over Palestinian lands and peoples. [PARIS & ZERROUKY, 2024; Le Monde, 4/08/2024.]

Currently, Germany recognizes Syria as a safe nation, and Italy has just opened a diplomatic representation in that country. This, despite the fact that Germany and Italy, in the recent past, helped to semi-destroy Syria, supporting a genocidal Western military campaign, which sought to place it under the imperialist and Zionist heel. The Syrian victory over that aggression, after terrible losses, was due to the support of the Russian Federation and Iran.

Bashar Al-Saddad nwill é another monster

The current diplomatic turn of Germany and Italy, without self-criticism, which was not accompanied by France and England, is due to Germany's desire to repatriate, even if it is a tiny part of the crowds of Syrian refugees it received - in mid- By 2023, the country had 3,6 million refugees. Italy, in turn, seeks to make it difficult for desperate people arriving from the East and North Africa to land on its coasts.

In this new context, the Zionist offensive in the Middle East opposes European pressure for pacification of the region, to reduce the flow of refugees. The British Labor Prime Minister has just declared that, if the International Criminal Court issues an order for the arrest of Benjamin Netanyahu, England will comply with the determination, in a historic dissociation of the unconditional English support for the current Zionist government. In the USA, 55% of the population opposes sending troops to Palestine to support Israel. [REALITY OF WAR, 06.08.2024.]

Israel's unlimited arrogance is not born from the power of its armies, but from the awareness of support from the United States, as a bulwark of the imperialist bloc in the Middle East. And the United States does not want, and cannot, face a generalized conflict in the East, and relaunch another, practically lost, in Europe. And all this seeing that its primary enemy, China, is growing stronger, in every way, without getting directly involved in the military clashes taking place around the world. [YOU, 2021.]

Donald Trump ncan't win

The elections in early November in the United States are the second issue that prevents the relaunch of the conflict in Ukraine with direct intervention by NATO. The USA, in full regression of the hegemony it enjoyed, faces perhaps the most serious internal crisis since the Civil War in 1865, expressed in the radicalization of the November presidential elections. [AMEUR, 2010.]

Proposing that, today, Democrats and Republicans, Biden-Harris and Donald Trump are cut from the same cloth, as stated by many analysts and political trends that propose Marxism, is to say everything and say nothing. The simplistic, opportunist and, in short, warmongering and pro-imperialist explanation, which is also claimed to be Marxist, that Trump represents international fascism also does not stand. Therefore, it would be necessary to vote for the Democratic candidate, in defense of democracy.

Valério Arcary and a pre-candidate for councilor in the next elections, both from the Psol Resistance trend, in two articles, support the sinister duo Biden-Kamala Harris, as, according to them, Donald Trump represents “world fascism” and “proto -fascist". “[…] we need to closely monitor the development of the US elections and […], intervene to ensure that Kamala Harris or another Democratic Party candidate is elected”.

Trump is the devil, Harris is a saint

And, if a victory for the Democratic Party occurs, it would also be a triumph over the Bolsonarist threat! “Donald Trump’s defeat would be the best outcome, especially for the Brazilian left, which is still threatened by Bolsonarism.” [ARCARY, 25/07/2024; FLORENCIO, 23/07/2024.] What turns the Biden-Harris Democrats into champions of civilization, despite being directly responsible for the bloodbath in Ukraine and Palestine, just citing the most determining global scenarios.

There is a question never answered by these anti-fascists that imperialism likes. I.e. In the general sense of the term, has there been, to this day, after World War II, anything more genocidal, and therefore more fascist, than the human and material destruction of the Gaza strip, firmly supported by the Democrats and Biden-Harris?

This lame defense of imperialism arises above all from the need to justify support for the current liberal management soft of Lula-Alckmin, as an alleged preventive action against the Bolsonarist fascist danger. A threat that poses, as always ready, behind the door, to attack. This, while the current Brazilian government, an expression of big capital, guarantees the historical exploitation of workers, employees, the population and the nation, in the here and now.

Two capitalist blocs

The dispute, to the death, between Donald Trump and, now, Kamala Harris, arises from the general confrontation between two American capitalist blocs, one dominant, the other subordinate. On the one hand, the big globalized monopoly capital, hegemonic in recent decades in the USA, represented by the Democratic Party. On the other, manufacturing-industrial capital, devastated by globalist industrial relocation, which transformed the Steel Belt into the current Rust Belt, defended at that time by Donald Trump and the Republican Party.

The Democratic candidacy proposes to continue unbridled globalization, maintain wild immigration in the USA, deepening the already traditional degradation of wages. Defends the military industrial complex and, to this end, the advancement of public debt; the submission through diplomacy, sanctions and, when necessary, weapons, of rebel nations and succubus allies, to continue financing the United States. It proposes permanent preventive war in favor of Yankee hegemony of eternal duration. In 2019-23, European military imports from the US grew by 35% compared to the previous five years. And they continue to grow. |[OFICEROV-BEL'SKIJ, 2024, 117.]

Donald Trump, on the contrary, defends protectionist, industrialist policies to finance the restoration of the former American manufacturing power. To this end, he proposes the construction of roads, ports, schools, buildings, everything in the USA, unlocking his and his cronies' businesses. He proposes reversing the movement of industrial relocation, in a permanent search throughout the world for workers paid with meager wages. Workers employed in the USA are essential to buy the houses, the buildings, the automobiles, the manufacturing paraphernalia produced, in the past, by the then “factory of the world”.

“America First” means the capital rolling into the pockets of national capitalists, including those linked to the automobile industry, the country's former industrial locomotive, and, therefore, equal support for the oil industry. Who believes in these things about the climate and environmental crisis! To create his new world, Donald Trump intends to limit the spending of American resources on the arms industry, which occupies a scarce workforce, and curb universal American policing. It clashes, therefore, with the central core of American and global globalized capital.

Trump must die

Donald Trump's solution to the war in Ukraine is simple. He intends to stop financing the conflict, leaving it, if interested, in the care of the Europeans. He has already recalled that the US's role is not to protect other people's borders. His squire and candidate for vice president, James David Vance, jovial, bearded, photogenic, just forty years old, former combatant in Iraq, born into a rural family affected by poverty and drug addiction, raised by his grandmother, is a voracious critic of the financing of the war in Ukraine. However, he is an unconditional supporter of Israel and the harassment of Iran, a staunch ally of the Russian Federation.

James David Vance and his wife, Usha Chilukuri, of Indian descent, measured in speech and dress, are a new face of Trumpism, which seeks to consolidate the electoral support of non-republican working and middle sectors. JDVance wrote his memoirs, bestseller a huge success, brought to the screen with sensitivity, under the title “Once upon a dream”, available on Netflix. Trump wants to leave Russia alone, which does not compete with American exports, and take care of the People's Republic of China, putting pressure on it as far as possible.

Trump does not dream of destroying China, like the Democrats. He intends to force it to grant more space to American production, as he did in his past administration with undeniable partial success. He is in favor of trade wars, not the kind where opponents kill each other by the hundreds of thousands. He has just reaffirmed that there will be no war against China. He has just proposed himself as the candidate of peace, denouncing that the Democrats are taking the USA to the brink of a Third World War. Trump expresses a commitment by American national capital and a manufacturing working class that looks nostalgically at a past, already past. Mirage permitted by the failure of globalized capital in the present. And, above all, due to the lack of a road pointing towards the future, built by the world of work.

The current confrontation between Donald Trump and, now, Kamala Harris is a true scythe fight on a moonless night, between two factions of American capital, one that was successful in the past, and was overcome by the very dynamics of the accumulation of globalized capital, which , in turn, has failed at present, and is threatened by Chinese expansion, as just proposed. Donald Trump signifies the dream of a return to isolationism, strong in the United States' past.

Wokism, the globalist ideological fiat lux

The harsh confrontation between Democrats and Republicans deeply involves and divides an American society, in which the working, salaried and middle classes have seen their conditions of existence plummet in recent decades, in terms of wages, housing, education and security. Classes that are perplexed to see that the historical promises of national imperialism to grant them increasing living conditions are no longer fulfilled, through the cannibalization of the world. Workers and employees who never counted on parties and movements that were theirs, even with a reformist bias.

A dispute that assumes a super-structural, direct and paradoxical contradiction, between the furious program woquist embraced by the Democratic Party when it unconditionally boosted globalization and industrial relocation. In the new context, the Democrats turned their backs on the American manufacturing workers, their traditional electoral base, and sought to establish priority relationships with the modern urban middle classes, with emphasis on those active in the sectors high-tech, IT, financial, advertising, fashion, etc.

The Democratic Party began to bet its chips, regarding politics, ideology and elections, on a modern, middle-class, individualistic and self-centered American population, living linked and dependent on a globalized world, with weakened national and regional roots, in general, no burning economic concerns. A social range that, in the context of globalization and the neoliberal reorganization of the world, extended across the world, with emphasis on developed capitalist countries, such as the United States, the European Union, Israel and so on.

The Democrats abandoned the defense and propaganda of the material and immaterial ideals of a manufacturing working class linked to “made in America” and the “Star-Spangled Banner”, flying at the door of the villa with a small front garden, a swimming pool in the backyard and two garages. A dream, currently, most of the time, unrealizable, promised, in the past, as certain, to be obtained during or after a life dedicated to work. Today, in the Land of Promise, workers sleep in tents and cars, leaving in the morning to work for meager wages.

The end of the story

The ideological rumination of globalized capital, supported by the American Democratic Party, focused on the radical defense of demands, no longer communitarian and social, such as the fight for the rights of the black population, which, to be granted, even very partially, required public resources. huge. On the contrary, it embraced the defense of particular individualist, subjectivist, sensualist, hedonist demands of the new globalized middle class, which arbitrarily proposes to speak for everyone.

Middle sectors that bury the social and universal demands of the oppressed classes, under their particular program, proposing it as the culmination of a revolution not only achievable in the current order, but desirable through capitalist globalization. A program collected and agitated uncritically by a huge part of the global left today, rooted in the middle classes and with, in the best of cases, only symbolic ties with the world of work.

Arbitrary claims, born of singular moods, which reject, in order to be realized, the materiality of objects, beings, social practices. In a radical solipsism and idealism, he literally proposes himself as individuality, “I am not what I am, I am what I want”. The real is thus transformed into a phantasmagoria, and the arbitrary chimeras that replace it become a social rule of mandatory acceptance. In this nothing brave new world, ideology Woke stands up as the “Fiat lux” of the universal revolution of globalized capitalism.

Irrationalist theology

Theology Woke of globalized capital has been consolidated, with, as its central axis, the denial, by “gender ideology”, of the materiality of the binary character of the human species, divided essentially into male and female members. It denies that objective biological-genetic nature defines an individual's sexuality, which would materialize, on the contrary, from an individual's arbitrary choice among the current more than sixty proposed genders.

“Gender ideology” opportunistically confuses the objective sex of an individual, male or female, their sexual orientation, spheres that tend to be autonomous. A male individual can be heterosexual, homosexual, bisexual, asexual, among other possibilities. Everyone has the right to express themselves fully. For “gender ideology”, a transvestite, a male homosexual or even a heterosexual, by simple self-definition, can propose to become a woman, whenever they want, with the rights arising from their new decision, until eventually renouncing it. And vice versa.

For “gender ideology”, the only difference between a biological woman and a man who defines himself as a woman is the proposal to qualify the former as a cisgender woman (cis) and the latter as a transgender woman (trans). ). A new arbitrary and unilateral order of humanity, born in the USA, it is easy to say, that seeks to impose, in an authoritarian way, often relying on the force of norms made legal, with punishment for disobedience.

This is not a question of full recognition of the rights to freely exercise sexual orientation. But the defense of an immaterial chimeric metamorphosis, carried out, most commonly, by self-definition, before or after a man or woman becomes full of hormones, which they must take for the rest of their lives. And to carry out any mutilating operations, of a plastic nature. Surgical interventions, of different levels, often irreparable, to artificially assume some characteristics typical of the male or female sex.

Transformations greatly demanded by the old sexual market which, before offering transvestites, metamorphosed and enhanced, now proposes so-called trans women, to the delight of the large pharmaceutical and hospital industry. Medication and surgical spree that organizations wokists-transgenders demand that it be financed, to aeternum, through social medicine, for the benefit of the pharmaceutical-hospital complex. The same interests that advertise the use of hormones and supplements in gyms, which are equally harmful to health.

Medicinal sexualization of childhoodance

Theology wokista-transgender which also requires that children, already in their early years, can be subjected to hormonal treatments and generally irreversible operations, based on the erratic will of their parents and guardians. And it proposes that children can and should define their sexual identities, when questioned, from the age of three or four, and that action should be taken based on their answers, when they are light years away from pre- and adolescence.

An operation that advances throughout the so-called civilized world and, in Brazil, was also organized under the slogan “There are trans children”, with the right to an Instagram profile and the exposure of minors by their parents in the last LGBT+ Pride Parade, without the authorities have acted in their defense. In Brazil, a 2019 determination by the Federal Council of Medicine prohibits hormonal or surgical interventions in pre-pubertal children. It also requires psychological support and specialist doctors in any similar intervention for children under 18 years of age.

Fundamentalism of the biological-sexual indeterminacy of human beings which, when defending the possibility of women transforming into men, by simple self-declaration, when they eventually become pregnant, proposes that they should be treated as pregnant men. And they argue that, in this case, the child was not born to a mother and a father, but to two parents.

Men who define themselves as women demand to be seen by gynecologists, to be allowed entry into women's bathrooms, to be able to participate in competitions, apply for positions, etc. restricted to women. And, logically, they demand the right to compete in female sporting competitions, despite male morphological and hormonal advantages: bigger heart; greater lung capacity; greater bone mineral density; lower muscle strength, etc.

Only women, in women's competitions

In cycling, swimming, boxing, athletics and strength and endurance sports, after initial liberality, the participation of men who define themselves as women is now prohibited. tranny, in female competitions, due to the physiological advantages that were allowing them to win competitions and pocket the rewards and prizes, as in the cases of cyclist Austin Killips, swimmer Lia Thomas, among others. The prohibition also extends to intersex individuals, that is, in this case, with female sexual organs but a male morphological structure.

Those victories took place under the protest of the defeated competitors, outraged at having to participate, in a female competition, with intersex men or those defined as trans women. Defenders of the legality of such competitions, according to whom they would not make it easier for men defined as trans women, have not asked themselves why women who define themselves as trans men do not also claim to participate in male competitions.

The Villages and the 2024 Paris Olympic Games, under the leadership of Emmanuel Macron, served as a platform for the international dissemination of the ideological program of globalism, in its most diverse variants: naturalism, ecologist, veganism, wokism. After clearing the spaces where the Olympic Villages and the center of Paris were built of homeless people, they moved on to organizing games that stood out for their revolutionary innovation in terms of accommodation and sports spaces.

Sweating profusely

The athletes were forced to sleep on hard recycled cardboard beds and cover themselves with synthetic quilts. With the ban on air conditioning units, unnatural instruments, athletes sweat profusely under the exorbitant heat, now classic in the European summer, in their bedrooms and on transport buses.

The athletes disdained the small portions of vegan and vegetarian dishes offered in the Olympic Villages and ran after succulent animal proteins, consistent with the physical effort required by the competitions. In a globalized world where nothing wants to be hidden, the windows did not have curtains.

The worst part was certainly the exchange, where possible, of swimming pools traditionally purified with chlorine by the River Seine, in a rehearsed return to the times of Homeric competitions. Athletes vomited from waters polluted with fecal waste, many demanding medical attention or medicating themselves before and after competitions.

The result was simple, under the condescending eyes of the organizers. Delegations from rich countries bought soft mattresses, curtains, air conditioners for their athletes, set up kitchens and hired cooks, etc. All the best and the best. While the athletes from poor countries, as is traditional, were left to their own devices!

A man can hit a woman

The great pedagogy wokista of Emmanuel Macron's Olympic Games was the participation of two so-called boxers, Imane Khelif, Algerian, and Lin Yu-ting, Taiwanese. They had been banned from fighting by the International Boxing Association, because they revealed themselves to be intersex in a genetic test. That is, they have a male chromosomal constitution, XY, and, therefore, the corresponding physiological conformation.

The globalist International Olympic Committee, which withdrew management of the boxing competition at the Paris Games from the International Boxing Association, for having alleged links with Putin, said it stuck to the sex recorded in passports. He also stated that any medical examination would be disrespectful to the athletes' human rights.

It was the International Olympic Committee, however, that also banned Russia's participation in the Paris Olympic Games, without concerns about the human rights of the Federation's athletes. And he allowed that of Israeli athletes, while Zionist troops continue a massacre in Gaza that the world recognizes as the genocide of our days.

The participation of Imane Khelif and Lin Yu-Ting took place amid protests from female athletes, as is usually the case, in the face of yet another male interference in women's lives and rights, which have always been repressed and disrespected. Which sets back historical female demands and struggles regarding motherhood; the protection, education and care of newborns; the right to abortion; security, health and democratic access to jobs, representation, etc. of the woman. Agendas that become partial effeminate demands, as they are foreign to those of men who define themselves and demand to be treated as trans women.

Newspeak wokista

In this irrationalist salad, it goes so far as to demand that disrespect for the use of arbitrary language, capable of describing the multiple genres and situations defined by an unbridled imagination, which today exceeds, apparently, sixty, become crimes punishable by law. Genres that are practically incomprehensible to non-specialists, which are proposed to be taught from primary school onwards, allegedly so that children, unable to grasp what is presented to them, grow, it is claimed, sexual concepts. The hyper-sexualization of childhood, adolescence and youth is, equally, a program driven by big capital, to explore new market niches. Proposals that terrify informed and uninformed fathers, mothers, grandparents, progressive and conservative.

In relation to the Portuguese language, Wokist newspeak advances, among other inventions, the introduction of neutral personal pronouns, so as not to attack the sensitivity of those who proclaim themselves to be of undefined sexuality. We would therefore have “he”, “she” and “elu”; “dele”, “dela” and “delu”, and then it goes on to infinity. An example in transgender newspeak: “Elu came yesterday to get the shirt that was delu.” It was what was missing in a country with millions of functionally illiterate people. It is also proposed to replace the terms “father” and “mother” with “parents”, since the difference between one and the other would be a mere cultural construction.

In the destruction of the current objective world, we proceed to the destruction of the past. It requires the correction and rewriting of literary, theatrical, poetic, musical, pictorial and historical works, from their primordial expressions, blurring any expression of a binary world or that hurts misunderstood current sensibilities regarding race, language, nature, animals, etc. Arbitrary rewriting, with alleged values ​​of the present, which literally reconstructs the past, according to the standards of the wokism of the globalized capitalist world.

To stay between us, rewriting or annotating Brazilian fictional literature in prose, or in verse, since its constitution and consolidation, from the 1840s onwards, to strip it of its racist, sexist and classist contents, would simply require annulling it, since it was, above all, an expression of a society in which the dominant classes were racist, sexist and classist. Hence also the current value of this literature, as it is also a link valuable for the trend understanding of our history and roots, as they really were. And imagine translating according to the standard wokista-transgender works like Don Quixote de la Mancha, by Cervantes, or Decameron, by Boccaccio!

Do wokism à homophobia

With the rationalist wagon rolling back, in favor of the wokism fundamentalist, it is understood that parents and grandparents, the population in general, especially little informed and little trained, react epidermally to such insane proposals, which threaten childhood and intend to revolutionize the objective world, putting an end, even, to the principle that all child has been generated from genetic exchange between a man and a woman, between a father and a mother.

In Brazil, the right-wing demagogy that used ideology had its best expression in today's senator Dalmares Alves, an evangelical pastor and former minister of Women, Family and Human Rights in the Jair Bolsonaro government. She based her political success on fantastic and terrifying descriptions, with sexual and morbid content, such as the proposal that there would be news of “children of four years old, three years old who, when they cross the borders”, in the north of Brazil, “have their teeth pulled out so they don't bite [the male penis] during oral sex” and “eat soft food so their intestines are free for anal sex”, when they are raped. [State of Minas, 09/10/2022.]

While the American Democratic Party has extremely defended the proposals wokists and transgender people, through Biden's presidency and Democratic state governments, the right and the Republican party, in turn, have mobilized against them, also with the support of non-Republican popular sectors.

A fight against integralism wokista and transgender that allows right-wing, conservative and irrationalist forces to use it to foment homophobia, machismo, patriarchy, pushing back the only recent achievements of full respect and the legal right to individual sexual orientations and options, abortion, feminine and feminist demands. The door of the house and the safe are thrown open and people complain when the thief takes possession of the harmonica.

Where the winds blow

The likely general trend in the coming months, until the result of the presidential elections in the USA, is NATO's effort to stage, very tenuously, proposals for peace negotiations, without implementing them, preventing a general debacle of the armed forces and the Ukrainian government. To this end, they will continue financing a failed state and supporting a failed military effort. Russian diplomacy has already highlighted that the US and NATO seek, when suggesting opening discussions for peace, only an armistice, without concrete development, that would allow the subsequent strengthening of Ukrainian troops.

The center of the dispute in Ukraine has shifted strongly to the American election, as made clear by two recent successes. The first, the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, on Saturday, July 13, in Pennsylvania, which almost failed, we dare say, as a convinced atheist, by a few inches, miraculously. An attack fueled by the demonization of Donald Trump as a mortal threat to democracy, proposed by the Democratic Party and the media that accompany it.

Before the attack, Biden had proposed that Trump “would be the priority electoral target”. Incessant rhetorical formulations, not very innocent, in a country that has more domestic weapons than inhabitants. It was as if the unconscious desires of Democrats frightened by a possible electoral defeat unfolded into an out-of-nowhere assassination plot for which they say they bear no responsibility.

A boy on the roof

Conspiracy, it is credible, woven at the heart of a radical pro-democratic faction of the Yankee security services. For the assassination of Donald Trump, a selected shooter was certainly not chosen and sent, which would be risky. The conspirators would have simply facilitated the path of the crazy young man to the roof, located less than two hundred meters from the Republican candidate. Previously identified as a threat to Donald Trump, among perhaps hundreds of others, his murderous intention would have been facilitated, in an open way.

During the preliminary investigation carried out under the control of the Democratic government and many high-ranking officials interested in an inconclusive conclusion, no one explained the numerous, repeated and enormous errors committed by the bodies responsible for protecting the former president and Republican candidate. Against the wall, Kimberly Cheatle, director of the American secret services, was forced to resign due to the successes in Pennsylvania.

Threat to his life to which Donald Trump appears to have responded by nominating James Davis Vence as his vice-presidential candidate. Someone who, in the event of his assassination, would replace him, with an even greater chance of victory, and maintain his policies, being able to run for re-election in 2028, difficult for Trump, due to his age.

Magnicide as a solution to the difficulties of the US imperialist bloc had already been tried and failed, in relation to the Slovak Prime Minister, Roberto Fico, in May of this year, who survived, despite being seriously injured. A possible plot to assassinate the founder and president of the ruling party in Georgia, against the war and sympathetic to Russia, has just been discovered.

Woman, black and young

The second success that disrupts the possibility of immediate action by NATO and imperialism was the change of candidate of the Democratic Party, on the eve of Biden's nomination, with the delegates linked to his designation already elected. A measure that became essential, after the debate on June 27, which revealed what was universally known, Joe Biden's advanced senility.

The central core of the Democratic Party and the deep state globalists quickly imposed the vice-president, Kamala Harris, who was kept ostracized throughout the government, so as not to emerge as a possible replacement candidate for the decrepit president, as ended up happening. Her candidacy strengthens Democratic chances, as she is a woman, is black and is young, in relation to Donald Trump. Which puts her, at least for now, in the spotlight of the mainstream media.

With a victory for Kamala Harris, it would follow, with formal modifications, the policy of the Democratic government. Meanwhile, Antony Blinken, Secretary of State, and Jake Sullivan, National Security Advisor, are expected to leave, considered responsible for keeping her on the bench. [FSP, 29/07/2024.] It would not be possible to rule out the return of Hillary Clinton, representative of the military complex, to a prominent position, as she immediately supported the new candidate.

The authoritarianism in the designation of Kamala Harris displeased important sectors of the Democratic Party apparatus, especially Barack Obama, who intended to win his better half. The former president has a strong influence on the Democratic Party and the Biden government, in its final throes. He and his wife were forced to board the new candidacy's tram, at the last stop, and will therefore eventually be marginalized in the next Democratic government, should it succeed.

wandering mine

 Possibly everything will be suspended, as for Ukraine, until the November elections. The only wandering mine is Benjamin Netanyahu, whose political survival and immunity to all kinds of lawsuits that threaten him depend on the continuity and radicalization of the war in Palestine. Which means, at this moment, a direct confrontation with Hezbollah and, above all, with Iran. A conflict that, to the chagrin of the Democratic Party and its candidate, could erupt at any moment, after the recent selective assassinations ordered by Netanyahu.

In the event of a Democratic victory, we will have a strong resumption, in the coming months, of the military disposition, perhaps in Ukraine itself, or in another region of the world, such as Belarus, Syria, Taiwan. [MAESTRI, September 18, 2022.] Donald Trump's victory, on the contrary, will mean a momentary relief in the general conflict, maintaining the Democrats' unconditional support for Israel, with possible provocations against Iran, which is, equally, a box from Pandora.

A Donald Trump government will resume the trade war with the People's Republic of China, trying to expand the scope of American trade and diplomacy. Signaling a possible line of action regarding relations with China, Trump declared that he was not opposed to oriental automobiles, as long as they were produced in the United States. He dreams of a reversal of American industrial emigration. He spoke out, categorically, against international trade outside the dollar, a proposal that could intensify the confrontation with China, Russia, and BRICS +.

In both solutions, under a Democratic or Republican government, the imperative need of the United States and its allies to confront the inexorable advance of China as the world's first imperialist nation will remain. A defeat that US imperialism cannot accept without first trying to resist with all its available resources.

An eventual Trump administration, without military confrontations, will eventually be just an interregnum in the inevitable clash between ascending and descending imperialism. Solution to an impasse of historic dimension, which compromises the very destiny of humanity, in an increasingly threatening way, to which only the world of work can present a solution, necessarily international.[I]

* Mario Maestri is a historian. Author, among other books, of Awakening the Dragon: The Birth and Consolidation of Chinese Imperialism (1949-2021) (FCM Editora).

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Notes

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[I] We would like to thank Italian linguist Florence Carboni and architect Gregório Carboni Maestri for reading this article.

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