By MÁRIO MAESTRI*
A shower of sparkling Iranian missiles cutting through the skies of Israel, passing through the mythical Iron Dome, like flour through a sieve
The world's population watched in astonishment as the unimaginable occurred. A shower of glittering Iranian missiles cut through the skies of Israel, passing through the mythical Iron Dome like flour through a sieve, to hit the defined targets, especially the outskirts of Tel Aviv, Israel's most populous city.
In a flash, in a flash, the devastating psychological effect of Israel's fantastic attack on September 17th was erased. pagers of militants of the “Party of God”. Followed, on the 27th, by the murder, in the depths of a bunker, by Hassan Nasrallah, secretary general of the Lebanese Hezbollah, created in the shadow of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Two terrorist attacks, with the death of dozens of civilians.
The missile attack on Israel did not reveal anything new. It was particularly striking due to its powerful virtual plasticity. Iran had already shown its ballistic capabilities in a measured way during the attack on the US military camps of Al Asad and Erbil in Iraq on January 8, 2020, which injured around 13 Marines, and, above all, during the bombing of Israel on April XNUMX of this year.
In both cases, Tehran announced the date and location of its strike, taking care not to cause fatalities or more serious damage. It sought, with restraint, to reveal to Israel and the US imperialist bloc that it possessed missiles capable of reaching any point in the Middle East with precision and accuracy. But why, then, was this message ignored by Israel?
Heel iimperialist
With the victory of the global counter-revolution in the late 1980s, marked by the dissolution of the USSR, the gates of hell opened on the Middle East, with the United States unbridledly imposing its monopoly hegemony over the region.
The imperialist formation of the Middle East occurred, above all, through the wars against Iraq, in 1990-1991 and 2003-2011. After the submission and destruction of the Iraqi state, and of Yasser Arafat's PLO, which preferred not to abandon its old ally Saddam Hussein in his ordeal, only Syria and Iran resisted the imperialist-Zionist domination.
Iran had been kept in isolation since 1979, and was radicalized in 1995. In 2011, the imperialist bloc launched itself against the Syrian nation and state, which survived, semi-destroyed, at the point of death, thanks to the support of the Russian Federation, the Islamic Republic, Hezbollah and other Lebanese militias.
Israel happily surfed the new scenario. In 1979, it was recognized by Egypt, which received in return the return of the Sinai Peninsula and an annual US silence on its military officers. In 1993, the PLO bent the knee, transforming itself into the informal Israeli police force of the West Bank, which was being swallowed up piecemeal by the Zionist colonies.
Israel lies down and rolls
In 2020, the floodgates opened and the cattle began to pour in. Israel was recognized by the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan, all of whom cried crocodile tears over the sad fate of the Palestinians. Paradoxically, on January 25, 2006, Hamas won the elections in the Gaza Strip, supported by Israel, which was interested in further weakening the PLO.
In 2023, the final Zionist-American dinner was being prepared, with the Palestinians as the main course, with the recognition, on a set date, of Israel by the wealthy Saudi Arabia, on the one hand, and by the powerful Turkey, on the other. Recep Tayyip Erdogan, strengthened internationally, concluded the final arrangements for the joint construction with Tel Aviv of an energy pipeline carrying Israeli gas to Europe, weakening the Russian Federation and Iran.
In September 2023, at the UN headquarters in New York, Benjamin Netanyahu and Erdogan were photographed socializing in front of a bottle of mineral water. Everything was ready for the Israeli-Yankee peace to be established in the New Middle East, radicalizing Iran's isolation. But if man proposes, God disposes.
Palestinian alluvium
On October 7, 2023, the silent Israeli-American general offensive towards the petro-monarchies and conservative states of the region stumbled, halfway along the way, not with a simple stone, but with the Palestinian Al-Aqsa Alluvium. The population of Israel and the world could not believe what was happening.
Not only did Hamas fighters burst into the occupied Palestinian territories by the hundreds, destroying troops and taking Zionist soldiers and more than two hundred hostages prisoner before withdrawing.
The proposals of omniscience by the Mossad, the Israeli intelligence service, and the invincibility of the Israeli army ended up in the mud, arm in arm. Once again, it was proven that, in history, with the advance of the class struggle, everything that is solid can end up melting into air.
Final Solution for Palestine
Sacrilege required an unforgettable bloodbath as an expiatory sacrifice. The Zionist state, supported by the vast majority of its population, resumed the Hitlerite practice of attempting to suppress armed national resistance by massacring, in an exemplary manner, the unarmed civilian population. In the same way that Nazi troops proceeded during World War II, not only in Poland, Ukraine and the USSR.
The genocidal treatment of the Gaza Strip, with more than forty thousand deaths, especially among children, the elderly and women, has raised a tide of popular indignation in the Middle East and around the world. It has forced the petro-monarchies and conservative Middle Eastern states to throw Netanyahu over the edge, at least for a while.
European governments have been silent in the face of this historic crime, and have continued to maintain relations with the murderous state, if not by supporting it, by prohibiting and repressing expressions of solidarity with the massacred Palestinian populations. Paradoxically, at the forefront of de facto support for the Israeli genocide is the German government, which is now completely discredited by its population.
“From the river to the sea”
On October 7, 2020, the Israeli-US offensive for hegemonic control of the Middle East entered into crisis with the isolation of Iran; domestication of Palestinian resistance; alliance between Israel, Turkey and the petro-monarchies and reactionary nations of the region.
The State and the population of Israel, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, leader of the Israeli far right, also fighting for political survival, chose to use the successes of October 1 to accelerate the objectives always pursued by Zionism: the construction of “Greater Israel”, swallowing up all of Palestine, part of Lebanon, and a portion of Syria.
The operation is already underway, with the expected acceleration of the expulsion of Palestinians from the West Bank, through the radicalization of violence against them, accompanied by the incessant establishment of Zionist colonies. And, in Gaza, through the physical massacre of the population and destruction of the region's infrastructure, with the aim of making this immense open-air concentration camp even more unlivable than it is today.
State of Israel and the war
A general military victory would allow, they hope, the conclusion, in the coming years, of this ethnic cleansing operation, launched with uninterrupted success since the moments before the founding, by the imperialist West, of the State of Israel in Palestine, in 1948. A Zionist initiative and purpose that has the support of the American imperialist bloc, which would like, more than anything, the founding of a symbolic, make-believe Palestinian State, a semi-colony of Israel, the great Western fortress in the heart of the land of oil and gas.
However, the current general military offensive underway violates the very nature of the nation and the State of Israel, which are poorly adapted to prolonged wars, in which they have never been involved. The reasons for this negative structural handicap are many and clear.
Sparse population
Israel has a small and unique population, which barely exceeds the seven million Hebrews living in the Israeli national territory. It is ten times larger than the population of Iran, four times larger than that of Iraq and twice larger than that of Syria.
Jewish vegetative reproduction in Israel is due to Orthodox Jews, who refuse to do military service. And among them, the Orthodox Eda Haredit Jews are anti-Zionists and courageously show solidarity with the Palestinian suffering. And they have children non-stop, even more so than the Palestinians living in Israel.
A large part of the Israeli population was born or has recent roots abroad, mainly in the United States, Europe, the Russian Federation, and the Middle East. They have dual nationality and usually two passports. Israelis have traditionally migrated to the United States and Canada, motivated by the increasingly difficult and expensive life in Israel.
I came to live, not to die
Since the beginning of the conflict in October 2023, six hundred thousand Israelis have left the country. This is more or less the average military mobilization capacity of the Israeli army. And it is expected that many will not return and, not a few, will follow the same path, with the continuation of the war and its consequences, direct and indirect.
The Israeli economy depends heavily on the harsh exploitation of 2023 Palestinian workers living in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. And since February XNUMX, Israel's doors have been closed to all of them. The construction industry has been hit hard, as it relies heavily on this labor force.
The State of Israel has encouraged the temporary immigration of non-Palestinian workers and, if possible, non-Muslims, especially from India, Sri Lanka and Uzbekistan. This poses many problems: it increases the cost of the workforce, since they, unlike the Palestinians, must be housed and learn the language; they pressure family members to come, etc.
Pay the bills
The professional Israeli army is not large. With around 150 men, it is mainly supported by three hundred thousand reservists, who are periodically called up for training, and have been very relaxed in recent years, given the relative peace the country has been experiencing. The call-up periods cannot be extended without causing irreparable damage to the country's economy, especially to small and medium-sized businesses.
It is difficult to maintain high morale in combat, knowing that upon returning home you will be faced with the disaster of your professional life. The number of reservists called up has varied between three hundred thousand, all of them young men of prime working age. At the beginning of the attack on Gaza, many reservists who were already living abroad, driven by Zionist zeal, flocked to the military. With the severity of the fighting, with the deaths, amputations and serious injuries, the willingness to fight has fallen sharply, with increasing requests for discharge, to return to their countries of origin, etc.
The number of people refusing to serve under the pretext of depression and mental illness has increased significantly. Reservists who have been on duty for a long time, steeped in Israeli supremacist and racist views, film themselves robbing, torturing, raping and massacring Palestinian civilians, without officers punishing or repressing these dishonorable and criminal acts. Cases of insubordination are also on the rise.
War is expensive
The long-term war effort has put a strain on the Israeli economy and finances, with the call-up of active workers, the payment of salaries, spending on weapons, etc. Perhaps a hundred thousand Israelis have temporarily abandoned northern Israel due to Hezbollah artillery fire in response to the Zionist attacks. A large part of this population must be supported by the state.
Israel's economy and finances are facing major difficulties. International credit rating agencies have downgraded Israel's credit rating by 2024. As the war continues, they predict budget deficits, capital flight and declining investment.
Israel is experiencing severe social inequality and the growing impoverishment of its own Jewish population, which also tends to encourage abandonment and restrict entry into the country. The consolidating view of Israel as a pariah nation, responsible for genocidal acts, undermines the mystique built by Zionism as an exceptional nation in the eyes of men and God. This phenomenon has consequences that are difficult to predict.
Escape ahead
The Netanyahu government and the Israeli armed forces are stuck in the Gaza Strip, which has been reduced to rubble, without achieving the promised end of Hamas and the release of the hostages. Despite being hit hard, the resistance and Hamas are reorganizing in Gaza, taking advantage of the local transfer of Zionist troops to other fronts. To control the region, tens of thousands of soldiers would be needed permanently.
The selective and successive assassinations of senior leaders of Hezbollah and Hamas, most notably the death of their secretary general, were not only aimed at causing psychological trauma to the resistance and massaging the self-esteem of the Israeli population.
The extensive use of Hezbollah's central missile arsenal depends on the express permission of its top leadership. With the death of Hassan Nasrallah, the latter momentarily lost its agility. The explosion of pagers demoralized the movement's middle cadres, killing a few and wounding a large number. Both operations sought to confuse Hezbollah's leadership and troops before the invasion of southern Lebanon.
Ready for the party
With these exemplary operations, the Netanyahu government regained support and rekindled the population's genocidal rage. The announcement of the invasion of southern Lebanon was supported by the tens of thousands of Israelis forced to abandon their homes in the north of the country, as well as millions of Palestinians. Above all, with its offensive against Lebanon and Hezbollah, Israel aimed - and aims - to create the conditions to drag the United States into direct intervention, should Iran enter in defense of its Lebanese ally.
A general conflict in the region, with direct US participation, would allow Netanyahu's government to create the best conditions to accelerate the construction of the dreamed-of Greater Israel, as the praetorian guard of Western imperialism, and reign sovereign over the New Middle East, with Iran and Syria forever subdued.
And, in the event of a lack of substantial response from Iran, which has shown itself reluctant to respond to the aggressions suffered, a general offensive, even if limited, with destruction in southern Lebanon similar to that carried out in Gaza, would allow the Netanyahu government to regain the initiative, frightening and putting pressure on the petro-monarchies and regional conservative governments, especially those of Sunni affiliation.
Missiles rained down
With the accumulation of troops and toasts in northern Israel, it was expected to resume, now successfully, the failed invasion and occupation of southern Lebanon in 2006, when it suffered a shameful defeat at the hands of Hezbollah. To everyone's surprise, at the moment when the Sinonist troops were lighting their fires to start the roast, an unexpected heavy rain of Iranian missiles fell upon them.
On October 1, before the astonished eyes of the world, missiles rained down on Tel Aviv, marking the fiasco of the Iron Dome and Iran’s ability to strike Israel whenever and wherever it wanted. The two hundred or so missiles fired from distant Iran threw a wrench into the works, unmistakably to the detriment of Israel and imperialism.
Considered to be brutes and rustic, subjected to decades of forced isolation, the Iranians revealed, in the facts, the performance of its Fattah-2 hypersonic missiles, “The Victorious”, with a range of about 1.400 km, speed between five and eight thousand km per hour, flying at low altitude, which makes counter-air measures difficult. The Fattah-2 would take about ten minutes to reach Israel.
Why containment?
The deeper meaning of the Iranian operation has escaped general understanding. As in the two previous cases, Iran has once again demonstrated the power of its missiles. This time, without warning and in enhanced form, before the eyes of the world. And it has repeated its moderation in the attack, in an undeniable non-verbal dialogue with Yankee imperialism.
Iran has been behaving with extreme restraint, trying not to get involved in the spiral desired by the Zionists, which would lead it to a general confrontation with Israel and the United States, supported by its main allies-subjects. Iran knows that it is not yet militarily prepared, considering Israel's military superiority, which has been rapidly diminishing in recent years.
Israel is estimated to possess between forty and two hundred atomic bombs, which can be launched from planes, missiles and submarines. As a deterrent, Iran has built up a missile system of perhaps forty thousand long-range missiles, capable of destroying a large part of Israel's infrastructure.. The most modern hypersonic missiles easily bypassed the Iron Dome, which had already shown itself powerless in the face of a saturation of less advanced projectiles with predictable trajectories.
We still have to get there
Iran has also made progress in terms of short, medium and long-range anti-aircraft and anti-missile batteries, producing stations domestically from old Soviet weapons, supported by reverse engineering, in which its engineers are highly skilled. Recently, the Russian Federation has delivered some stations of the powerful S-400 and other modern anti-aircraft complexes to its ally. New S-400s have been sent to Iran now, in the context of the current crisis.
Os Houthis shot down more than ten US MQ-9 drones, worth thirty million dollars each, possibly with Iranian surface-to-air missiles. The Iranian military has invested heavily in electronic warfare, having diverted, captured and replicated US drones. On October 1, there was also a cyber attack on Israel's defenses.
Due to the long-standing UN blockade imposed by the United States, Iran has virtually no modern military aircraft. However, the country has trained pilots, received advanced training aircraft and ordered state-of-the-art aircraft and helicopters from the Russian Federation to be delivered in the medium and long term. On October 5, a high-level Iranian delegation called on the Russian Federation to immediately provide Sukhoi SU-35 aircraft with a range of XNUMX kilometers.
Don't want a serious fight
Tehran has enriched uranium, powerful launchers, can place satellites in orbit, and has the basic technology to produce nuclear weapons. However, it is believed that it is missing the final step to do so: miniaturizing the atomic warhead so that it can be transported by a long-range missile. There is little point in having an atomic weapon and not being able to launch it over the enemy's head.
It is speculated that he still has two years to produce four to eight nuclear bombs in his underground shelters sunk into several mountains in the interior of the country. Little is known about the facts, which are certain and indisputable, and he may even have already precariously assembled some nuclear warheads.
The Iranian government is also concerned about its internal fragility, due to years of liberalizing economic policies, which have impoverished the population and strengthened a pro-Western middle class and bourgeoisie; religious fundamentalism, which restricts political rights and concentrates them in the hands of clerics who enrich themselves with much of the country's resources; and international sanctions, which weaken Iran's economy.
Dying for one hijab
On September 16, 2022, the death of Mahsa Amini, a young Kurdish-Iranian woman, arrested for refusing to properly carry her hijab, and mistreated by the police, caused a strong outbreak of popular opposition.
The country was shaken by demonstrations demanding democratic rights, such as religious freedom, which imperialism logically sought to exploit. In Syria, Muslims, Christians, Jews and non-believers live side by side without any contradiction. And the Syrian people fought valiantly to maintain the country's national independence.
Recently elected President Masoud Pezeshkian is not known for his commitment to anti-imperialist and pro-Palestinian resistance. He appears to have been hindering and delaying Iran's military response to Israel. It is alleged that it was the supreme leader Ali Khamenei who directly ordered the attack on Israel, without him being informed.
Showed what he can do
During the October 1 attack, Benjamin Netanyahu stood alone in the middle of the ballroom while the orchestra changed the music. When he was filmed in his bunker, shouting threats against Iran, his voice cracking and his hands shaking, he recorded his isolation and that of his government, albeit relative and momentary.
The imperialist mainstream media is trying to neutralize the harsh Iranian blow, reporting that it did not kill anyone or destroy anything important. The Israeli press itself discreetly reported, to the contrary, that Iran bombed the Tal Nof, Hatzerim and Nevatim air bases on the outskirts of Tel Aviv, targeting mainly the barracks, administrative buildings and maintenance hangars. The Mossad headquarters, a maritime gas extraction station, some radars and a concentration of armored vehicles were also attacked.
The missiles were aimed with the aim of not killing anyone or destroying vital facilities. Ayatollah Khomeini has just reminded us that Muslims wage war taking care not to injure or massacre civilians, like Israel. The attack was a slap in the face, in front of a huge auditorium, which made a lot of noise, but it did not leave any wounds, only scratching the face of the challenged party.
The attack was intended to demonstrate, as proposed, in an unequivocal manner, the ability to hit whatever it wanted, whenever it wanted, in Israel. The ball was thrown into the court of US imperialism, which has been unfolding, in recent times, in almost desperate calls for moderation towards Iran and Israel. And, if it is now jumping on the Zionist bandwagon, it is doing so for circumstantial, not strategic, reasons.
Another tough war?
This does not seem like the best time for the United States to get involved in a tough fight in the Middle East, born of a disproportionate and angry response by Israel to Iran. Or to participate even indirectly in a long and hard confrontation with Hezbollah in Lebanon, which will require, at the very least, material and economic support for the Zionist godson, who shouts a lot but can do much less.
Hezbollah has around 120.000 permanent soldiers, reservists, and local auxiliary troops. It is supported by smaller militias of other faiths. It would take a force of three hundred thousand soldiers to dislodge them completely, with enormous losses.
We are a month away from the US elections, which will largely determine the future of not only the land of the Founding Fathers. Kamala Harris has lost her compulsive laughter by spending her time referring to the thorny war in Ukraine, which is going from bad to worse, falling apart; to the conflicts in Gaza, the West Bank and, now, Lebanon.
The Democratic candidate would call for peace until the elections. However, for some crazy hawks, a harsh US-Israeli attack on Iran, weeks or days before the election, could inflate American patriotism, as always happens when they go to war, no matter who they are fighting against. Which would favor the Democrats. A thought, as we will see, that is not entirely unreasonable.
What clothes should I wear?
A dangerous gamble, with Donald Trump, who did not start any conflict as president, speaking out, proposing himself as the “champion of peace”, and accusing the Democrat of being a “warlord”. Saying, not without reason, that the Democrats could push the world into a world war. However, bowing down to the all-powerful LOBBY Jewish-Israeli, he has unreservedly supported an attack, now, on Iran.
The US government does not seem to want a direct confrontation between Israel and Iran, or a prolonged war in Lebanon, at least now, when it finds itself bogged down in Ukraine, where the victory of the Russian Federation over the NATO offensive is becoming increasingly predictable. Washington seems to want to get out of this conflict, without the heavy losses that a victory for Moscow would mean, in order to prepare for a direct or indirect confrontation with China, defined by its strategists as its existential enemy, since it is challenging its world hegemony.
A China that has been penetrating deep into the Middle East, waving the flag of harmony between nations, bringing Iran and Saudi Arabia closer together, supporting Syria's return to the Arab League, blessing the entry of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Iran into BRICS, to the dismay of the United States, which sees this acronym transforming itself into the new OPEC, leaving the G7 and G20 in the shadows.
Bottleneck of the world
A long war in Lebanon and, even worse, with Iran, would require Israel and, eventually, the US troops involved to be supplied with weapons and ammunition, which are likely to be depleted in Ukraine. Meanwhile, China is advancing in the construction, production and storage of advanced military equipment. A direct attack, as threatened by the Zionists, on Iran's oil infrastructure and nuclear facilities would be met with the destruction of Israeli nodal points and troops. Furthermore, the Iranian armed forces could close the Strait of Hormuz, through which around thirty percent of the world's oil supplies pass.
Even a temporary interruption of navigation along Iran’s coast would cause a runaway increase in the price of black gold and, consequently, of gasoline and diesel oil. This would increase fuel prices and inflation in the United States. Russia has already spoken out about the imperative need not to touch nuclear facilities in the Middle East. And Israel has an expanding nuclear plant, exposed to attack, in the Negev desert, near the Dead Sea.
Vladimir Putin with a scowl
Tel Aviv and Moscow have maintained cordial relations, with instances of consultation and collaboration, even during the war in Syria. The attacks on Iran in Syria, the genocide in Gaza, the offensive in the West Bank and the current proposal for an offensive against Lebanon and an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities are distancing and opposing Tel Aviv and Moscow.
The Russian Federation finds itself, in the current situation, involved in responding to the NATO attack, without being able to substantially support Iran, its biggest ally in the Middle East, which has supported it in the conflict by delivering ballistic missiles and advanced drones.
In this new context, for the first time, the Russian Federation has reportedly recently shot down half a dozen Zionist missiles launched against Syria, under the pretext that they were approaching its base in Khomeini and the port of Tarkus, in Syrian territories, which it occupies with the permission of Damascus.
waiting times
The US government has not explicitly pressed for a measured Israeli response, after suggesting that it focus on Lebanon, Syria and Iraq, without harshly targeting Iranian national territories. A strong response from Tel Aviv, with a counter-response from Tehran as well, would put the United States at the center of the conflict, with increasingly direct intervention, as proposed.
The Americans are already carrying out heavy attacks, hand in hand with Israel, in association mainly with the English, against the Yemeni Houthis, who continue to put under pressure the crossing of the Bab Al-Mandab Strait by pro-Israeli and pro-Western cargo ships, which are heading towards the Suez Canal.
The Russians have threatened to deliver cutting-edge weapons to groups fighting against the Americans and the British, of course with the necessary technical equipment to use them, if NATO carries out a deep attack on the Federation's territories, denying responsibility for the launch from Ukraine. This would have led to a setback, until now, of the proposal under discussion at NATO. The Houthis would receive these Russian weapons, if they have not already received them.
Endless war
The invasion and occupation of the south of the Cedar Country, while simultaneously exercising control of Gaza and the West Bank, would require Israel to keep perhaps six hundred thousand soldiers under arms for months, with a number of casualties that are impossible to calculate, but certainly very heavy, especially for an Israeli population divided and exhausted by a year of war and by a government questioned by a substantial part of the population.
Israel has not been successful in its first so-called exploratory penetrations into Lebanese territory. So far, it has retreated from small so-called exploratory advances, in the face of ambushes by Hezbollah. It has reportedly suffered dozens of casualties. In southern Lebanon, the troops of the “Party of God” are divided into dozens of combat divisions, often formed by local residents, with complete autonomy of action.
Also in Lebanon, the Israeli government is heavily bombing the civilian population in the south of the country and in Beirut, to impose fear and terror, seeking to pressure them and the government to oppose the resistance. More than a hundred Lebanese children have already been victims of Zionist air, missile and naval attacks. The Israeli advance in the south appears to be almost a complementary action to the destruction of Lebanon.
Abyss as an exit
Israel's genocidal arrogance hides the impasse it finds itself in. At this moment, after precisely one year of destroying Gaza, it is forced to resume attacks on the northern part of the Strip, where the resistance has reorganized. It has to maintain troops to suffocate the West Bank. It has begun a conflict with the Hezbollah militias, which are superior in every way to those of Hamas. And on October 1, it suffered reprisals that demonstrated Iran's capacity to hit its territory hard.
Israel cannot continue to mobilize its reserves for much longer, only to end up failing to achieve, as has happened so far, any of the strategic objectives it has set out to achieve. Zionism’s only apparent lifeline is to involve the United States in a confrontation with Iran, plunging the region into a general conflict whose consequences are difficult to predict. And it may be close to achieving what it wants.
A tough confrontation with Iran would not be part of the US globalist military strategy, which is forced to manage a historic defeat in Ukraine and has not been able to deal, as it would like, with its strategic enemy, China, which is rapidly rearming itself and continues to advance on the world manufacturing, technological, diplomatic and financial scene.
Muslim Judas Beating
Certainly against its strategic interests, the Democratic government has already given positive signals of participating in the coordination of the attack against Iran by Israel, which suggests that it intends to strike Iran's nuclear facilities, leading to inevitable harsh responses. The Biden government's decision seems to be linked, above all, to the elections.
With less than thirty days to go until the presidential elections, the initial momentum of Kamala Harris' surprise candidacy is starting to fade. Donald Trump's victory is once again a source of surprise. The results of any action taken now, after the elections, are no longer important, given the pressing need for a democratic victory for globalized capital.
Since the last gasps of the 1970s, the United States has been conducting an incessant campaign to demonize the Iranian state and nation. The average American hates Iran to the core, often without knowing where it is. Millions swear that the attack on the Twin Towers was the work of the Ayatollahs, despite the fact that Bin Laden and Al Qada are Sunni.
It's the elections, idiot!
An Iranian crushing, combined with an inevitable long-term shootout in the region, right up until the elections, has the potential to galvanize automatic American patriotism, closing ranks around a Joe Biden seen, in his last throes, as a tough and ruthless leader. Which could secure the votes that would be missing for Kamala Harris to win. An operation that has worked traditionally, not only in the United States.
The irony, if this operation is launched, is that Donald Trump would literally die by the mouth. He has been posing as Iran's main sycophant, always barking at the ayatollahs. He was the one who ordered the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, one of the heads of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, in Iraq in January 2020. The death prompted an Iranian missile response against US bases in the region, as seen. He has just supported a strong Democratic action against Iran.
If Israel gets the green light to throw the Middle East into the fire, Donald Trump would spend the next few weeks in the background as Biden and Kamala Harris’s “Pirate Parrot,” applauding a real electoral trap against him. This would keep the Democratic Party in power, relaunching its policy of endless war, under the guise of a president who arrived from nowhere, who continues to laugh at the massacres and genocides supported and promoted by her administration.
* Mario Maestri is a historian. Author, among other books, of Awakening the Dragon: The Birth and Consolidation of Chinese Imperialism (1949-2021) (FCM Editora).
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