What is it, what does it want, where is Trumpism going?

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By HASMAESTRI RIVER*

A questare central é the economic programômonkey of Trumpism, which proposes to domesticate adílife, cutting deep into administrative and military spending; invert the débalance deficitthe American commercial, even if it is in fits and starts

If notãIf you decipher me, I will devour you

Vice President JD Vance's speech on February 14 at the 61st meeting of the Munich Conference on European Security, with its masterful and authoritarian intonation, in the style of an overbearing, arrogant and disgruntled father with wayward children, made official Trumpism's break with the Atlanticist globalism of the European Union and NATO, carnal allies of the United States in general and of the Democratic Party, of Joe Biden in particular. 

The US vice president gave a harsh speech against the anti-democratic and authoritarian nature of the European Union, in the imposition of policies of globalist big capital and in the construction of a supranational and anti-popular government in Europe. He criticized a European Union that is unconcerned with the popular segments that are upset or hurt by its policies. JD Vence pointed to Romania, where the European Union challenged an election because it was being won by a candidate opposed to Euro-Atlanticism and anti-Russian militarism, and continues this dictatorial imposition.

JD Vance's speech was a sort of near-declaration of war on Euro-Atlanticism, highlighting the current estrangement between the governments of the US, under the Trump administration, and that of the European Union. The unexpected diatribe was received with sympathy by many, throughout the world and in Brazil, since practically all the harsh criticisms made of the government from the European Union came from. And palpable and glaring truths are still true and cannot be ignored, even when spoken by a dirty and lying mouth. [MAESTRI, 22.02.2024.]

Ideal loadógica

JD Vance's speech in Munich equally massaged the self-esteem of anti-abortion conservatism; of Islamophobic racism; of fundamentalist Christianity; of the crowds horrified by the appalling proposals of the wokism. The US vice president even praised John Paul II, the Polish pope of the socialist counterrevolution. He converted from Protestantism to Roman Catholicism, in its conservative version, of course.

The truths spoken by JD Vance, on the one hand, and the retrograde ideological charge of his speech, on the other, cannot be ignored, as they are pregnant with meaning. However, they should not nullify the need to inquire, without prejudice, into the deep meaning of Trumpism. A necessary reflection commonly evacuated by sectors that claim to be on the left with the automatic and restrictive qualification of Trumpism as an extreme-right, semi-fascist and even fascist movement. 

These and other summary moralistic assessments of Trumpism carry with them a defense, not always indirect, of Joe Biden's Democratic administration, seen as respectful of international institutions and defenders of minorities, which the Donald Trump administration disrespects and despises. “[…] we need to closely monitor the development of the US elections and […] intervene to ensure that Kamala Harris or another Democratic Party candidate is elected.” “Donald Trump’s defeat would be the best outcome, especially for the Brazilian left, which is still threatened by Bolsonarism.” [ARCARY, 25/07/2024; FLORENCIO, 23/07/2024.]

This analytical drift overshadows Donald Trump’s efforts to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine and Kamala Harris’s promises that, if she won, she would continue her warmongering policy in Europe and Palestine. This already demands a more accurate reflection than the moral and ideological criticism of Trumpism.

Colonizestion of the Euráis

Since the dramatic destruction of the USSR in 1991, to which it actively contributed, the European Union has actively participated in NATO's siege of the Russian Federation. This strategic operation took a qualitative leap forward in 2014 with the coup d'état on Independence Square [Maidan Unification], in Ukraine.

The control of the state and government of Ukraine by the United States, the European Union and NATO was the prelude to the armed conflict in that country in February 2022, waged against the Russian Federation. With the start of the fighting, European colonialism and imperialism believed that they would finally conquer the Holy Grail pursued for centuries: the semi-colonial rule of Eurasia. 

NATO’s push, under the direction of the United States, for a general economic siege, diplomatic isolation, and military attack on the Russian Federation in Ukraine would, it was certain, lead to the explosion of that nation of continental dimensions into several fragile countries. Completing the incomplete work carried out with the territorial and political explosion of the USSR in 1991 would pave the way for the rapid colonization and exploitation of the endless resources of the Russian Federation and Eurasia by Euro-American imperialism. [KARAGANOV, 2020.]

The disintegration of the Russian Federation would pave the way for Beijing's accommodation to US hegemony, by good or packed. And perhaps, the most daring dreamed, it would lead to the dissolution of the current Chinese government and the separatism of the regions of the country considered oppressed, with the help of some “color revolutions” — Tibet, the autonomous region of Xinjiang, Chinese Mongolia, etc. It was predicted that, with these historic victories over the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China, the world could be reformatted, for all time, it was expected, according to the model proposed by the imperialist bloc led by the United States. 

The plan was set in motion with the coup d'état in Kiev, euromaidan, in early 2014, followed without pause by the repression not only of the cultural nature of Russian-speaking Ukrainians; by the permanent military attacks on Donbass and the organization by NATO of its military reconquest; by the sabotage by the European Union of the regional peace agreements, in Minsk I and Minsk II. All of this in anticipation of Moscow's inevitable reaction, launched on February 24, 2022, which allowed, in bonus, that the Euro-American imperialist bloc presented, in the eyes of the world, the harassed e assaulted, who defended himself, as aggressor

Whiteólaugh on the corner

The Euro-American imperialist bloc proposed, announced and believed that victory was within reach, just around the corner. All it had to do was to exacerbate the endless sanctions that were already weighing on the Russian Federation, isolate it economically and diplomatically, and attack its military troops, which it proposed as fragile and disjointed, to plunge that nation into a structural economic, social and political crisis, the prelude to its explosion. 

It would not even be necessary to completely defeat the Russian armed forces.

Some “color revolutions” in republics of a Russian Federation convulsed by economic disorganization and retreating under military blows from NATO, through NATO-USA, would materialize, as noted, the dream of colonialism and then of European imperialism.

In the past, the conquest of Eurasia by the European nations in colonial and imperialist expansion had failed due to the resistance of the Tsarist and, later, Soviet state blocs. Before them, the European operations of conquest of Eurasia had foundered, most notably the French invasion in 1812 and the Germans during the two world wars. [TOYNBEE, 1955: 16 et passim].

On June 22, 1941, Operation Barbarossa, commanded from Berlin and supported by the fascist governments of Romania, Italy, Hungary, Slovakia, Croatia and various European fascist militias, launched a wave of 3,8 million soldiers against the USSR. The resistance to the invasion cost more than 20 million Soviets and ended with the destruction of the Third Reich. On May 9 of this year, Red Square in Moscow will celebrate the XNUMXth anniversary of the Soviet victory over Nazism. 

The success of the imperialist bloc's final complex operation in Ukraine only needed it to be "arranged with the Russians", as proposed in Sweden by the wonderful Mané Garrincha, upon hearing the elaborate instructions of the Brazilian national team coach to break through the USSR team's defense. In Ukraine, for the USA and NATO, unlike the 1958 World Cup, in Sweden, for Brazil, everything went wrong, since the opposing team was stronger and its coach more skillful. And the European Union and NATO were thrashed by the Russian Federation and the USA literally knocked their team off the field.

Historical failureórico

The Russian Federation had been preparing itself, especially since 2014, for the imperialist attack, after proposing, on several occasions, in vain, negotiations with the Euro-American bloc that would guarantee it a minimum level of national security. When NATO-USA sabotaged the peace negotiations between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, in order to start a general conflict that it expected to be conclusive, the Russian state, economy, society and armed forces showed unique and unexpected resilience. [PETRONI, 2022.]

The setback of the major Ukrainian counteroffensive of June-December 2023, meticulously organized and armed by NATO-USA, pointed to a more than likely victory for the Russian Federation, with increasing realization in 2024 and 2025. The setback ucraniano recorded the structural fragility of the imperialist bloc, highlighting the military industry, weapons, and active popular support for the military effort.

As Putin’s government grew stronger, opposition, albeit passive, to the more aggressive European governments grew. Popular European dissent, lacking coherent direction, has been and continues to be silenced, manipulated, disregarded and repressed. As JD Vance’s recent speech in Munich pointed out.

Paying the bill

Perhaps the main consequence of the NATO-USA military disaster in Ukraine was to contribute to the erosion of the electoral strength of the Democratic Party, the world political leadership of militarist globalism, in the US presidential elections of November 2024. The almost inexorable military defeat in Ukraine exposed the tendency of US imperialism to retreat and the failure of its strategy of subduing Russia and China through general harassment, followed by increasing indirect military confrontations. 

The military attack on the isolated Russian Federation was due to the consolidated assessment of American strategists that the United States could no longer win a conflict fought against a military alliance of the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China. EA Colby, a former member of the US Department of Defense, proposed simply: “[…] we are certain that we will not be able to fight, much less win, a war against Beijing and Moscow simultaneously.” [PETRONI, 2022, 7]

Ukraine’s current record of Russian power and fragility western required an even deeper reassessment of US strategies. The military solution might no longer be the path that would allow the US to overcome the strong international current towards the recovery of its declining hegemony. At least, during the current period.

Everything or Nothing

Awareness of the current military correlation of forces has not prevented the Euro-Atlantic bloc, mainly through the European Union, from continuing to propose radicalizing the confrontation, even bordering on a possible extended European war, if not worse. Despite knowing that NATO and the USA are, at best, ill-prepared for the expansion of the conflict.

This analytical inconsistency, which continues to support crazy belligerent plans, does not come from the brains of short-sighted or irresponsible politicians, especially the leaders of the European Union and the main martial nations of the Old World. These politicians are merely well-oiled and well-paid puppets of the interests they represent.

It is the great Western globalized capital, with emphasis on finance, that maintains the warmongering policy, despite the general advance of the Russian Federation and the record of the military fragility of globalist governments. This, because it sees its greater interests threatened and the collapse of an advanced operation, until then successful, since World War II, semi-consecrated after 1991, when the USSR exploded, with the advance of the encirclement of the Russian Federation by NATO. [LOPES, 31/07/2024.]

These powerful Western globalist interests, severely threatened by the defeat in Ukraine and the withdrawal of the planned general military offensive, opt for an all-or-nothing policy. The strong blows they feel threaten their interests obliterate the awareness that proposing to advance the general military offensive could aggravate the backfire that was the operation in Ukraine, with an even greater strengthening of the Russian Federation and China.

cisare deep

From 2017 to 2021, the election of Republican Donald Trump marked a profound split within American big capital, which qualitatively surpassed the traditional confrontations between Republicans and Democrats. It was an almost existential division within capitalism in the United States. The head-on clash expressed the enormous crisis that the country had plunged into, largely due to the policies advanced in previous decades, not only by the Democrats.

Donald Trump's first electoral victory momentarily halted the advance of Democratic militarist globalism, which was already salivating over the possibility of Hillary Clinton's enthronement. However, Trumpism I did not prosper and deviated from its objectives, as it did not yet have a mature project, a team capable of implementing it, and the conditions to materialize it. Donald Trump lacked the strength to confront the establishment pro-globalist rooted in the institutions, the administrative apparatus and the Yankee society. Perhaps he intended to do so during his frustrated reelection. 

From 2017 to 2021, Trump was subjected to a permanent siege by globalist Democrats, who wielded immense resources and were embedded in a riverine state apparatus, often used openly against the then president. His defeat in the elections and the four years of Democratic administration, led by the senile Joe Biden, exposed the fragility of the global-militarist strategy. Public debt exploded, basic interest rates rose, Russia prospered militarily in Ukraine, the BRICS+ grew and strengthened, China continued to arm itself, the global hegemony of the dollar weakened, albeit relatively, etc.

The crisis of US hegemony is largely due to the metamorphoses that society has undergone in recent decades, in the wake of globalization, many of which Trumpism has launched itself against. Big US capital has driven the country's industrial displacement and deindustrialization, embracing and radicalizing its internal impulses in search of an increase in its average profit rate, which is currently in a depressed state. It has pathologically determined the drive toward the globalization of production required by technological development itself.

A world without nationses

Through the economic and social globalization of big capital, especially financial capital, markets were expanded, societies were shaped, multitudes of workers were subjected to forms of wage slavery, regions producing raw materials were colonized, etc. In its favor, capitalist globalization unfolded in the promotion of a single world market, with free circulation of capital, goods, labor, etc. A movement that leveraged the development of capitalist China, as an industrial and, later, imperialist power, which entered into an inevitable dispute with the US bloc. [MAESTRI, 16.02.2025/26.12.2024/XNUMX; XNUMX/XNUMX/XNUMX.]

Big imperialist capital tended to promote a global market that sought to dissolve cultural singularities, overcome by tastes, practices, behaviors, and worldviews that tended to be unified. A globalization that diluted the remnants of a national-manufacturing past, imposing an international division of labor governed by relative advantages, with the destruction of less profitable productive structures and centers. The destruction of the industries of the German Democratic Republic turned its territories and populations into mere consumer and labor markets.

For globalized capital, there is no reason to produce milk, meat, grains, etc., in the Old World, protected by customs barriers and subsidized by the State, if they can be imported from other regions of the world at depressed prices, with higher productivity and lower prices. For it and its managers, the destruction of historical landscapes, the quality of products and the throwing of millions of Europeans into relative and absolute unemployment are negligible.

The profitability of unused capital requires compulsory and semi-compulsory investments at the expense of consumers. The climate crisis has served to leverage forced and policed ​​transition programs to so-called clean energy sources — solar, wind, geothermal, etc. — at the drop of a hat, at the expense of the population, who were never consulted and who often had their vital interests violated. Fabulous funding was distributed left and right, while essential social spending on education, health, security, housing, etc. declined.

The bureaucrats of the European Union decreed the end of the production of combustion cars by 2035, with big industrial and financial capital rubbing their hands together over the semi-forced and forced replacement of hundreds of millions of vehicles. In the midst of the implementation of the compulsory determinations, it was understood that real technological maturity had not yet been achieved for such an ambitious and costly project. Above all, the proposal for a general and qualitative boost to public transport was never addressed.

A flat world

The globalist project of big capital is pushing for global deregulation and the privatization of economic and social relations; it imposes various forms of precarious work; it flattens wages, often using illegal immigration; it privatizes public services and social compensation — health, education, energy, security, retirement, etc. It leverages the banking of global society and endless investments in the military-industrial complex.

The globalization and deindustrialization of the United States have led to a downward trend in the living conditions of the working classes. White workers since the 1930s and black workers since the mid-1960s have constituted the traditional base of the Democratic electorate. By embracing globalism and industrial displacement, the Democrats have turned their backs on the manufacturing workers and the traditional middle classes. They have also left the factions of manufacturing capital producing for the domestic market in the lurch.

In the new context, the Democratic Party sought to transfer its electoral support from the modern urban middle classes, with an emphasis on communities active in the sectors high-tech, IT, finance, advertising, fashion, etc. He abandoned the proud “Steel Belt” in the northeast of the USA, transformed into the “Rust Belt”, and went fish on the coast of California, in New York, in Austin, in Seattle.

Left to its fate

In the USA, the Democratic Party has defined as its priority bases of social, electoral and ideological support sectors with ego-individualist worldviews, without pressing economic concerns. Communities linked and dependent on a globalized world, with fleeting national and regional roots, often living in one city and working in another country, via telematic means.

In the context of globalization and rampant neoliberalism, the new The Democratic Party and similar organizations around the world are built on the support of social sectors that are thriving in developed capitalist countries — the United States, England, Canada, the European Union, Israel, China, Taiwan, etc. — and emerging urban centers — Dubai, São Paulo, Buenos Aires, New Delhi, Mexico City. 

A hegemony based on new productive realities demands and gives rise to new ideological phantasmagorias. In the United States, by embracing globalization and deindustrialization, the Democratic Party shelved the idea of ​​“made in America” and said goodbye to the “Star-Spangled Banner” hoisted over the door of the villa with a small front garden, a swimming pool in the backyard, and two cars in the large garage, the dream of consumption no longer promised, as it had been in the past since the end of World War II, to every dedicated American worker.

The manufacturing worker, mostly white, unaccustomed to unemployment and unskilled employment, abandoned to his fate, gave rise to a new type of addict, who does not seek his fix in the alley. He obtained it, at least initially, through doctors, pharmacies, and hospitals that surfed the mega business of opioid painkillers. A mass phenomenon that caused a true health epidemic for which Donald Trump now accuses Mexico and China of being responsible.

Horrible new world

The new postmodern and post-industrial ideological-cultural constructions have advanced over social struggles and demands, stirring up the individualistic, subjectivist, sensualist, and hedonistic demands of the new globalized middle class, which arbitrarily proposes to speak for everyone by referring to its own navel. Programs born of singular moods that reject, in order to be realized, the materiality of objects, beings, and social practices, shouting out loud — “I am my world, I am the world.”

In a radical idealism and solipsism, the dream of an autonomy of subjectivity, without limits, is literally proposed — “I am not what I am, I am what I want.” Thus, reality is transformed into a phantasmagoria, and the arbitrary chimeras that replace it, into a social ruler. A horrendous new world in which ideology Woke It is raised as the “Fiat lux” of the cultural revolution of globalized capitalism, embraced, publicized and transformed into laws, where possible.

Theology Woke had as its main battering ram the denial, through “gender ideology”, of the materiality of the binary character of the human species, divided into male and female beings. Sex would, on the contrary, be freely chosen, based on the arbitrary individual option, to be imposed by law, among the more than sixty embarrassedneros proposed, all called to advance their demands, shouting, as a social coronation of individualities.

Guided by the mega-interests of the pharmaceutical, outpatient, hospital, etc. industries, the possibility and right, often supported by law, of children, young people and adults, generally unaware of their actions, to undertake the chimerical metamorphosis of sex, by self-definition, before or after filling themselves, or being filled, with hormones, to be consumed for life, and to carry out eventual mutilating operations with irreversible plastic objectives, has been advanced. Today, everything is required to be financed by public health.

Trumpism – what he says, what he wants, what é

Trumpism has stepped into the breach of the failed globalist economic and military offensive of the Democratic administration, formally led by an intellectually diminished president. Its battle cry, “Make America Great Again,” proposes, on the economic and ideological plane, the reindustrialization of the United States, the fight against the monstrous debt of the State, the recovery of the population’s purchasing power, the end of savage immigration, the ideological, social and economic rejection of globalism.

Donald Trump has promised to end militaristic initiatives and energy, environmental and other programs that are hated by part of the population and by oil companies. All of this will be achieved through reindustrialization, the reversal of a huge trade deficit and massive cuts in spending by the civil administration and the armed forces.

A program that would result, Trump promises, in the control of the stellar public debt and a return to a national past proposed as splendid. He also committed to ending wokism, of identitarianism and emphasis on traditional and conservative family values. In general, the Trumpist agenda clashes head-on with globalism, represented by the Democratic Party, which also defends the military-industrial sector, intertwined with financial and international capital. Both are, however, creatures of the capitalist and imperialist order.

Large globalized capital

Factions of globalized capital are clearly against ending the conflict in Ukraine without defeating the Russian Federation, and are opposed to Trump’s proposal to not start wars and to control public spending. They follow the Democratic program of rebuilding US hegemony through regionalized military confrontation with Russia and China, both indirect and, if necessary, direct.

Donald Trump's nationalist, protectionist and developmentalist program allowed him to win the elections supported by the votes of employed and unemployed workers, mainly whites, but also, in large numbers, blacks and even Latin Americans, in the same situation. Working classes without any credible left-wing leadership to raise the program of the world of work.  

Donald Trump's extreme rusticity is not an act, although it could serve his electoral and even diplomatic purposes, as recorded in the discussion with Volodymyr Zelensky on February 28. It alienated him from the female vote, especially that of black women. The anti-intellectualism and incivility of the now president have earned him support from communities in rural and traditional America. His pacifism did not win him the leftist vote, which would have opted to abstain in large numbers due to Joe Biden's militaristic bias in Ukraine and Palestine. 

During the election campaign, Trumpism sought to win votes from factions of American society, not just conservative ones, in direct dissent with the wokism, with identitarianism, with “gender ideology”, with an almost terrorist and opportunistic manipulation of the ecological, climate, feminism issues, etc. Which allowed Trumpism to undertake strongly conservative agitation against the achievements and consequent defense of sexual freedom, feminism, environmentalism, etc.

Raizes econômicas

The roots of Trumpism lay in what was left of the once powerful US manufacturing complex, producing for the domestic market, now supplied mainly by Chinese products; in the real estate and infrastructure construction business, to which Donald Trump belongs; in factions of the traditional automobile industry, sidelined by international competition and fearing the forced abandonment of combustion engines. 

Significant support for Trumpism came from the oil sector, which is being restricted by all kinds of environmental regulations and is also being harassed by the energy transition. The promises of tax cuts, general deregulation and a reduction in the state apparatus attracted segments of big capital, which were also seduced by Elon Musk's activism against labor laws and workers.

Trumpism did not drag behind its “sound car” the cutting-edge American economic complexes, firmly linked to globalism, among them, the technological segments of Silicon Valley, in California, and the internationalized banking-financial-buying sector, which employs around 8% of the workforce and is responsible for almost 20% of the country's GDP. 

Joe Biden and the Democrats have relied on a postmodernity and a globalized post-industrialism, to be built and consolidated through the submission, if necessary military, above all, of the Russian Federation and Chinese imperialism, which advances on the past US hegemony like a crazed dragon. [MAESTRI, 2021; PROBSTING, 2014.] Donald Trump seems to want to return to the past, to manufacturing modernity, when the United States was still the factory of the world. 

Back to the past

Donald Trump is fighting to return to a historical period that was overcome by the internationalization of capitalist production and industrial and financial capital, which led to aggressive globalism. In a way, he intends to stop history and return to an idealized past. Unlike globalism, he intends to re-industrialize the country, using tough trade disputes rather than armed conflicts.      

Trumpism is an anti-globalist movement of a conservative nature that presents itself to many as revolutionary. It has drawn workers and important popular classes behind it due to the radical weakening of proposals to overcome the capitalist order, put forward by the world of work, which has been radically weakened since 1991, with the explosion of the USSR and the worldwide victory of the neoliberal counter-revolution.

Donald Trump was strengthened after the military failure of NATO-USA in Ukraine, as proposed, with the spreading appreciation, among factions of the American ruling classes, of the impossibility of winning the confrontation with the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China, at least at this moment. The continuity of Democratic policies would require the continuation of an endless public debt that was already weakening the dollar, the last great international trench of American imperialism. [KISHORE, 2021.]

The violence of the conflict within the US and abroad, between Trumpism and globalism, under Democratic leadership, is due to the huge gains that the winning factions will obtain and the enormous losses of the defeated ones. Donald Trump promises to cut up to 8% annually in the US military budget. This is a huge and unacceptable loss for the military-industrial complex and financial capital, which have been favored by the US governments for decades, both Republican and Democratic. This is an ongoing confrontation, currently, with no clear winner.

On a knife edge

It is as if the enthroned Trumpists find themselves with the knife and cheese in their hands. They have obtained an indisputable electoral victory. They have the majority in the House, the Senate, the Supreme Court and the state governors. However, they are walking a tightrope. The faction of national and global capital, defeated in the last presidential elections, controls enormous resources in the United States and abroad, especially the leadership of the European Union, which is doing everything to fail the Trumpist program. Consequently, Donald Trump seeks allies in the ranks of his enemies' enemies.

Trumpism must win the race of institutional leaps, without stumbling over any barriers. In 2026, the mid-term elections will be held for all members of Congress, some senators and many governors. They can strengthen, weaken or eliminate Trumpism. And two years later, in 2028, the presidential elections will be held, it is plausible, without Donald Trump as a candidate, for constitutional reasons and his then advanced age: 82 years old. JD Vance will be 44 years old at the time and Marco Antonio Rubio will be ten years older.

If Democratic globalism wins in 2028, Trumpism will be totally reset, a possibility that, as we will see, has helped to keep the Russian Federation on the back foot in the current negotiations underway. What is promised today may be reneged on tomorrow by another US government, which is precisely what Donald Trump is doing in relation to the previous government. The strength of globalist interests in the United States, Europe and the world is immense. 

Trumpism has a short window of time to gather strength, overcome its opponents, and overcome the obstacles that neutralized its first administration, from 2017 to 2021. It seeks to carry out structural transformations in the state apparatus and in the United States’ relations with the world. That is why Donald Trump and his troops are launching themselves, like light cavalry, under heavy machine gun fire, against the bunkers that their adversaries control, in American institutions and abroad. Out of necessity, they attack both internal and external enemies at the same time. 

Destroy the Deep State

Donald Trump appointed a loyalist, Pete Brian Hegseth, as Secretary of Defense and, on February 21, in an unusual move, he ousted General Charles Q. Brown Jr., an African-American, chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, who had been appointed by Joe Biden. Admiral Linda Fagan, head of the US Coast Guard, also a Democrat, suffered the same fate, accused of being concerned with advancing initiatives for “diversity, equity and inclusion” and mismanaging the troops under her responsibility.

FBI Director Christopher A. Wray resigned before he was beheaded, and was replaced by Kash Patel, a Trump loyalist of Indian descent who accused the organization he now heads of being part of Deep State. A. Wray and his men promoted poisoned investigations against the then Republican candidate. Trumpism proposes a broad reorganization of the FBI, striving for Democratic-leaning officials to resign of their own accord.

Trump has nominated Pam Bondi, a loyal follower who has already been approved by the Senate, to head the Department of Justice for the second time. She will begin cleaning up this government agency that also worked hard to sabotage the first administration and now make it difficult for the current president to be reelected. Donald Trump nominated Robert F. Kennedy, who is not very friendly to the pharmaceutical mega-interests, to be Secretary of Health and Human Services.

Elon Musk, as head of the “Office of Government Efficiency,” has ordered government employees to submit reports on their work, under penalty of dismissal. He proposed the possibility that paid employees would not be working. Some government agencies, such as the FBI and the Pentagon, have advised their employees not to comply with the injunction. 

Heavy bureaucracy

The federal civil service and the US armed forces have more than five million and five hundred thousand members, which the Donald Trump administration, as good liberals, intends to drastically reduce, aiming to reduce public spending and the size of the State, and to guard against internal opposition, already underway, by actions or by inertia. 

A less-than-generous voluntary severance plan offered to federal employees has received 75 applications. On February 11, the Tupetudo signed a decree urging federal departments to prepare for ambitious cuts. Terror is currently gripping American public servants, especially those of a Democratic persuasion. Appeals to the courts are seeking to suspend the new government's determinations.

The Trump administration has ordered a 90-day pause in the payment of billions in foreign aid in order to review the payments. The aim is to achieve the promised savings and to consider the funding voted for by pro-globalist Democrats. 

Trumpism has hit the powerful US Agency for International Development (USAID) with a heavy blow. Virtually all contract staff have been placed on administrative leave and 1.600 permanent employees are expected to be cut. The goal is to eliminate USAID, while keeping its acronym, which controls billions in resources.

Elon Musk organized the selective leak of USAID emails regarding countless campaign financings against governments and countries disliked by imperialism — financing thousands of newspapers, radio stations, NGOs, training mercenaries, and so on. It proves that USAID has always acted with its fingers intertwined with the CIA, as the anti-imperialist left, accused of conspiracy theories, has been proposing for decades.

Ideological combatólogical and cultural

As proposed, the central issue is Trumpism's economic program, which proposes to tame the debt by cutting administrative and military spending; to reverse the US trade deficit, even if only by leaps and bounds, as is already being done in relation to Mexico and Canada. To this end, it will mainly use import taxes. This will increase inflation in the US, a serious threat to support for the Donald Trump administration, which demands immediate substantial victories. 

Trumpism intends to impose, in this process, by banging hard on the table, US demands, as has already happened in Panama and hopes will happen in the same way with Greenland and Canada. In the same sense, it seeks the literal dispossession of Ukraine, by demanding military aid offered by the Joe Biden administration. In general, it financed Ukraine's purchase of overpriced weapons produced in the USA. 

Trumpists urgently need to reindustrialize the country and control immigration flows. This would tend to raise workers’ wages, which would be slashed by the radicalization of precariousness and uberization of labor relations. Above all, in order to follow Trump’s path, it is essential to end the conflict in Ukraine and to establish rapprochement with the Russian Federation, which would distance it somewhat from the People’s Republic of China. A possible pacification of relations with Beijing cannot be ruled out, without abandoning the bitter trade dispute. 

To reduce the monstrous US public spending, it is essential to stop the hemorrhaging of resources in favor of the war in Ukraine and to mercilessly cut, as promised, the country's Atlantic military budget. This requires a retreat from the traditional US imperialist policy of global policing, for which seven hundred military bases are maintained abroad. And, above all, a pacification, even relative, of US relations with the Russian Federation and China. It is impossible to continue fighting militarily with the Russian Federation and threatening China with death while commercially attacking the rest of the world, especially potential and necessary allies for developing war projects. Either we drink the milk or it turns into butter.

Universal Soldier

A policy of cutting the US military budget forces the handover of NATO's support to European nations, as Trump demands, since the United States is responsible for no less than 40% of the North Atlantic Treaty's budget. Donald Trump has proposed cutting the military budget of the United States, the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China by 50%. 

Putin reportedly agreed with the proposal to cut military budgets, while Xi Jinping disagreed, since China is trying to nullify US military superiority. However, this could be overcome with a proportionally smaller reduction in China's massive military budget. The determining factor in this case is the intention, not the amounts of the proposals put forward.

The pacification of relations with the Russian Federation and even with the People's Republic of China would allow for a tripartite division of international hegemony, leaving out Europe, India, Turkey, and other emerging nations. This would determine the future of BRICS+. This would not be an easy task to achieve, but would have structural and historical consequences if it were to materialize.

ukrainenia must win

The European Union and NATO, defenders of Euro-Atlanticism promoted by the Democratic Party defeated in November 2024, continue to promote the war in Ukraine and do everything to sabotage Donald Trump's peace efforts, or to draw him, as far as possible, into militarist policies. The hard core of European imperialism, England and France, are now trying to force Donald Trump to encamp tens of thousands of his troops in Ukraine, as forcethe peacemakers, when an armistice was reached. All under Yankee military protection.

This is the essence of the peace project proposed now, at the drop of a hat, after the breaking of plates in the Oval Office and the beginning of Trump's instructions for the US to abandon its military effort against the Russian Federation. It is still a peace plan that guarantees the continuation of the fighting, since, as proposed, the Russian Federation has made it clear that it will not accept this poisoned proposal, even if the cow coughs. It would allow Western provocation to restart the conflict directly involving NATO forces and the United States.

The achievement of this demand would mean winning, at the negotiating table, the Anglo-French military program of bringing their troops into Ukraine, which was defeated on the battlefield. The European Union continues to sanction the Russian Federation and arm Kiev, which has also received, up until now, the weapons approved during the Joe Biden administration. This reality weighs heavily on the Russian Federation, in terms of material and human resources.

Moscow has shown its full openness to peace negotiations and a host of other issues related to bilateral and global relations proposed by Donald Trump. However, it is moving forward with caution. The second US-Russian Federation meeting, held at the US embassy in Istanbul, Turkey, continued to discuss the reestablishment of diplomatic structures in both countries, which were destroyed by the Joe Biden administration. 

Precaution and áholy water doesn't hurt anyoneém

In order to move forward in the discussions, Moscow will probably need to begin lifting some of the sanctions that are affecting the Russian Federation. Fully reestablishing diplomatic relations, lifting some sanctions, and moving forward with disarmament agreements and other measures will be solid gains for Moscow, even if the most optimistic forecasts, i.e. a broad bilateral discussion and deliberation on the international situation, do not materialize.

As mentioned, during Donald Trump’s first administration, the Washington-Moscow rapprochement ended without continuity, following sanctions against the Russian Federation. All agreements reached between the two countries could be reversed, as proposed, in the event of Trump’s electoral defeat. For this reason, the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China prefer to renew, in front of the world, as they do now, their vows of eternal love and… logically, of mutual defense, if necessary. This is a commitment, however, never made between Moscow and Beijing, at least explicitly.

The end of the offensive in Ukraine, with Moscow's victory, would bury expectations of an expansion of European imperialism towards Eurasia. It would end the latent state of war with the Russian Federation and hinder the ongoing project in the European Union to relaunch big European capital with the investment of huge national and EU capital in the military-industrial complex, at the expense of the European population.

The British Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, has just announced that the country will increase its GDP to 2,5% by 2027, with growth of up to 3% by the end of his term. All this, he claims, is to protect England and Europe from the Russian Bear. Meanwhile, this winter, he condemned thousands of elderly people to death from the cold by withdrawing subsidies for heating costs in impoverished sectors of the country. There are reports of seventeen thousand deaths. As soon as he was elected, the Labour politician saw his reputation plummet among the English population, for whom he cares little.

* Mario Maestri is a historian. Author, among other books, of Sons of Ham, sons of the dog. The enslaved worker in Brazilian historiography (FCM Editora).

References

ARCARY, Valério. Is Donald Trump a proto-fascist? Esquerda On-Line, 25/07/2024, see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

FLORENCIO, Rafaela. Critique of Neoliberal Representation: The Kamala Harris Case, Esquerda On-Line, 22/07/202. see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

KARAGANOV, Sergej. If we lose, Russia will be rischierebbe di spaccarsi. LIMES. Italian journalist for Geopolitica. Rome, no. 4, mag. 2020.

KISHORE, Mahbubani. China won? the Chinese challenge to American supremacy. Translation: Bruno Casotti. Rio de Janeiro, Intrínseca, 2021, 368 pages.

LOPES, Gilberto. NATO's long march to the East. The Earth is Round. 31/07/2024. see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

MAESTRI, Mário. JD Vance in Munich. The Earth is Round, 22.02.2025; A Comuna Magazine, 20.02.2025. see here; and here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

MAESTRI, Mário. China is, indeed, capitalist, and beyond imperialist. Counterpower, 16.02.2025/26.12.2024/XNUMX. https://contrapoder.net/colunas/a-china-e-sim-capitalista-e-imperialista/; AComuna, XNUMX/XNUMX/XNUMX. see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

MAESTRI, Mario. The Dragon's Awakening: birth and consolidation of Chinese imperialism. (1949-2021). The US-China Conflict in the World and in Brazil. Porto Alegre: FCM Editora, 2021. 142 p. see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

PETRONI, Federico. “We transform Ukraine into Putin’s Afghanistan”. Conversation with A. Wess Mitchell, chalk assistant secretary of the State for European Affari and Eurasiatici (2017-2019). Limes. Italian Geopolitics Magazine. 2/2022. Rome: Pontoweb, 2022. P. 63-70.

PETRONI, Federico. 'China First, in Asia l'America rischia di perdire'. Conversazione con Elbridge A. Colby, direttore della Marathon Initiative e già viceassistant al segretario alla Difesa degli Stati Uniti.Limes, Rivista Italiana di Geopolitica. Turin. No. 7, 2022. see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

PROBSTING, Michel. China’s emergence as an imperialist power New Politics Vol. XV. No. 1, Full Issue 57, 2014, see here (Accessed, 02.03.2025)

TOYNBEE, Arnold. J. The World and the West. São Paulo: CEN, 1955.

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