About the Genial/Quaest survey -

About the Genial/Quaest research

14/05/2024

Partners • Political environment • Lula Government • Media and Social Networks

By ANTÔNIO DAVID*

What would have been the result if the Genial/Quaest survey had used the sample that Datafolha used just two months earlier

The Genial/Quaest national survey, carried out between the 2nd and 6th of May, has just been released. The headlines of some press outlets highlight the results: “Genial/Quaest: 55% think Lula doesn’t deserve another chance in 2026” (The Globe), “For 55%, Lula does not deserve another chance in 2026, says Genial/Quaest” (Veja), “Quaest: Lula scores 46% for the 2026 election against Tarcísio’s 40%” (Folha de S. Paul). A Folha de S. Paul The subtitle was also published: “Survey also showed that 55% think that PT member no longer deserves a chance as president”.

A Folha de S. Paul could have reported in the same report that the Datafolha institute carried out a national opinion survey on the 19th and 20th of March this year, and that its sample differed considerably from the Genial/Quaest survey sample in a decisive area: income.

Monthly family income	Datafolha (March 2024)	Genial/Quaest (May 2024)
Up to 2 minimum wages	57%	30%
2 to 5 minimum wages	31%	44%
More than 5 minimum wages	8%	26%
Refuses or does not know how to inform	3%	-

It is worth warning: the data refers to family income, not individual income.

According to the Genial/Quaest survey, in the income range up to two minimum wages, 53% believe that Brazil is “in the right direction” and 35% believe that Brazil is “in the wrong direction” (12% say they do not know or did not answer ), In the immediately higher income range, between 2 and 5 minimum wages, the assessment is reversed: 52% believe that Brazil is “in the wrong direction”, while 38% declare that Brazil is “in the right direction” (the percentage of those who don't know or didn't answer is 9%).

This same assessment is amplified in the income range above five minimum wages: here, those who responded that Brazil is going “in the wrong direction” total 59%, while 31% consider that Brazil is going “in the right direction” (10% don't know or didn't answer).

What would have been the result for this and other questions if the Genial/Quaest survey had used the sample that Datafolha used just two months earlier, in March?

*Antonio David He has a PhD in Philosophy from USP and is currently pursuing a PhD in Social History at the same institution..

the earth is round there is thanks to our readers and supporters.
Help us keep this idea going.
CONTRIBUTE

See all articles by

Antonio David

10 MOST READ IN THE LAST 7 DAYS

The Veils of Maya

By OTÁVIO A. FILHO: Between Plato and fake news, the truth hides beneath veils woven over centuries. Maya—a Hindu word that speaks of illusions—teaches us: illusion is part of the game, and distrust is the first step to seeing beyond the shadows we call reality.

Octavio A. Jr.

Regis Bonvicino (1955-2025)

By TALES AB'SÁBER: Tribute to the recently deceased poet

Tales Ab'Saber

Dystopia as an instrument of containment

By GUSTAVO GABRIEL GARCIA: The cultural industry uses dystopian narratives to promote fear and critical paralysis, suggesting that it is better to maintain the status quo than to risk change. Thus, despite global oppression, a movement to challenge the capital-based model of life management has not yet emerged.

Gustavo Gabriel Garcia

The financial fragility of the US

By THOMAS PIKETTY: Just as the gold standard and colonialism collapsed under the weight of their own contradictions, dollar exceptionalism will also come to an end. The question is not if, but how: through a coordinated transition or a crisis that will leave even deeper scars on the global economy?

Thomas Piketty

The next time you meet a poet

By URARIANO MOTA: The next time you meet a poet, remember: he is not a monument, but a fire. His flames do not light up halls — they burn out in the air, leaving only the smell of sulfur and honey. And when he is gone, you will miss even his ashes.

Uriano Mota

Apathy syndrome

By JOÃO LANARI BO: Commentary on the film directed by Alexandros Avranas, currently showing in cinemas.

Joao Lanari Bo

Claude Monet's studio

By AFRÂNIO CATANI: Commentary on the book by Jean-Philippe Toussaint

Afrânio Catani

Aura and aesthetics of war in Walter Benjamin

By FERNÃO PESSOA RAMOS: Benjamin's "aesthetics of war" is not only a grim diagnosis of fascism, but a disturbing mirror of our own era, where the technical reproducibility of violence is normalized in digital flows. If the aura once emanated from the distance of the sacred, today it fades into the instantaneity of the war spectacle, where the contemplation of destruction is confused with consumption.

Fernão Pessoa Ramos

Donald Trump attacks Brazil

By VALERIO ARCARY: Brazil's response to Trump's offensive must be firm and public, raising public awareness of the growing dangers on the international stage.